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Not sure if there should be a cooldown period for suggestions on this but it's dropping fast. I've been trying to sell mine at the suggested price for like a week now and eventually decided to go down to 5 ref...
I will only post unpainted stuff and trades worth mentioning (not people asking for 1-2 keys just cause they want so).
PROOF:
Classifieds [url]http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/51fffd7f4bd7b8460d000017[/url] (see for yourself here)
[url]http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/9186/mr1k.jpg[/url] - screencap when making the sugesstion, check the hours they've been up for
Quicksells
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15290723[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15287738[/url] - 4.66 probably unsold due to no bumping in 3 hours (still in his bp)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15278925[/url] - 4.33, not in his backpack
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15274375[/url] - 4 ref, it went instantly (he also had it posted before for a week at 5 ref, unsucessful)
Selling/Sold under 5.33 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15054093[/url] - i'm the first, ofc
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15288417[/url] - posted as 5 ref, closed without selling
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15288407[/url] - 5 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15286316[/url] - 5 ref - got an add for it, not sold yet for 5 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15282592[/url] - sold @ 5 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15281985[/url] - sold @ 5 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15280923[/url] - this may not be valid, but he is willing to give it for a Big Mann on Campus (5 ref price)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15277893[/url] - posted at 5 ref, not bumped
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15276636[/url] - 3 craft hats = 4 ref, unsold (i didn't really know if i should put this at quicksell)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15276522[/url] - sold @ 5 ref, check item history (looks like he sold it without a bump though)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15275723[/url] - selling @ 5.22 ref, 13 hours unsold
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15275555[/url] - sold @ 5 ref, with nametag too (but i don't really consider the name as value - it's a personal preference)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15274101[/url] - posted @ 5 ref, got an add after 10 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15273723[/url] - sold for 5 ref OR for s. reserve shooter + 0.66 (which is, again, 5 ref)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15271841[/url] - sold 1/2 @ 5 ref (probably sold the craft #105)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15271578[/url] - been up for 16 hour @ 5 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15269775[/url] - selling @ 5.11 (he's got 2 of them in his backpack, probably only selling one
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15282955[/url] - that's 5-5.11 ref
Sold (barely any, if you find one in the last 18-19 hours let me know)/Selling at 5.33
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15289540[/url] - up for 3 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15289128[/url] - up for 3 hours on autobump
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15287866[/url] - "upper bp.tf prices" up for 4 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15287321[/url] - marked as done, failed to sell in 5 hours (item is still in his bp)
[url]http://bazaar.tf/trade/502914[/url] - up for 6 hours (bazaar.tf, kill me now)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15283660[/url] - unsold for 7 hours with bumping, even though he has an advantageous offer
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15283568[/url] - 8 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15285714[/url] - "low end bp.tf prices" up for 6 hours
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15283306[/url] - been up for 8 hours on autobump
[url]http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9857561[/url] - 5.33 ref, apparently sold as he doesn't have it anymore
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15280313[/url] - 10 hours on autobump
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15277102[/url] - closed after 12 hours without selling it
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15275989[/url] - 13 hours, regular bumps
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15271086[/url] - up for 17 hours on autobump
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15271036[/url] - 5.33 ref, apparently sold, not in his bp anymore (trade 17 hours old)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15268882[/url] - unsold for 20 hours (posted 1 hour before the last suggestion was accepted on this item)
And also there are still many unsold in calssifieds.
Conclusion: only a few recent sucessful sellers at 5.33, many selling or sold below. Feel free to add proof or counter of your own.