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People are buying at 1.5 keys, but it's slow business. Even sellers at less than 1.5 are having some trouble it seems. This is my first suggestion so I may have missed some information.
If I did please tell me. If I find more trades I will post them as well.
Unsolds
Lots of unsold at 1.5 keys on classifieds, and sellers at less than 1.5 keys. When I checked at least.
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52573ce94dd7b8ca148b4571
http://i.imgur.com/KXLIGm7.png - lots unsold at 1.5 keys
http://i.imgur.com/v4jQAhQ.png - unsold at 1 key, 1 ref, 3 days
http://i.imgur.com/9mnsPFe.png - unsold at 1 key, 2.33 ref, 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15259348 - unsold at 9.44 refined (about 1.5 keys), 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15199050 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15202862 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15152029 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 7 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15262756 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15278268 - selling for 1.5 keys. Does have a comment for flapjack, but it's still in the backpack.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15288077 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15248004 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15288077 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15291062 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 1 day
http://bazaar.tf/trade/503615 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 1 day
http://bazaar.tf/trade/502672 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 1 day
http://bazaar.tf/trade/499081 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 3 days
http://bazaar.tf/trade/501439 - unsold at 1.5 keys, 2 days
Bought at 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15214506 - The flapjack in the trade has been sold, and the user has others. (going by it's history: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2015689444 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15272537 - Same guy, has one add comment.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15295647 - Original is not in bp, presumably bought, has two others.
http://bazaar.tf/trade/499176 - Not in backpack. Presumably sold.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15313487 - Not in backpack. Presumably sold.
Bought at lower than 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15260648 - 1 key, 2.33 ref
Buyers with adds (that I can see)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15072028 - Buying for 6 ref, has at least one add.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15274634 - Buying for 1 key, two adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15177797 - One guy said "flapjack". I assume that meant he is willing to sell one.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15193148 - Another person said "flapjack". Also someone willing to sell for 1 key, 1 ref.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15199407 - Claims he's bought 5 for a key each. Does have one in his bp.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15238795 - Claims they have bought 23 at a key each.
Selling for 1.5 keys or lower from today
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15311738 - 1 key, 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15312172 - 1 key, 2.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15299237 - 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15300220 - 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15310835 - 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15295574 - 1 key, 2.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15308859 - 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15315065 - 1 key, 2.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15295132 - 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15315467 - 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15315959 - 1 key
http://bazaar.tf/trade/505047 - 1.5 keys
I saw a lot of people buying/selling for cheaper than 1.5 keys and some difficulty selling at 1.5 keys. I don't care if this is passed or closed, I just thought it was worth pointing out.
I added the 6.33 because it's above 1 key and below 1.5 keys. I wanted to find more inbetween and add them but I couldn't find any others.
I deleted my comment due to me not realizing 1.5 refined is still in the range. I still recommend more sales to solidify this suggestion.
I found as many as I could at the time. As I said if I find more I will add them. I plan on checking trades again in a few hours.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15316303 - Selling at 1.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15270007 - Sold at 1.5, original is not in bp. Possibly sold others.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15315340 - Selling at 1 key & 2 ref, sold 2, has 2 others.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15215388 - Selling at 1 key & 2 ref, has an add, still in bp.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15317067 - Selling at 1.5, one sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15202862 - Original is still in bp, however someone did offer 9 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15293496 - Unsold at 1.5, 1 day
Forgot to look through bazaar before posting that comment. :/
http://bazaar.tf/trade/505690 - Sold at 1 key & 2 ref
http://bazaar.tf/trade/499380 - Would appear to be sold at 1.5, however the bp is empty.
http://bazaar.tf/trade/499081 - Unsold at 1.5, 4 days, but hasn't been bumped in 2 days.
Edit:
Update on this trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15295132 Item not in backpack, presumably sold.
going to up vote but for future reference try finding more sold trades it makes it easier for people to decide when they have proof from both sides of the market.
It's difficult for me to find sold as most people close trades once they are done, and therefore I don't see them. If you know a good way to find sold trades, that'd be appreciated.
as a matter of fact i do trade.tf usually keeps trades from within the weeks perfect for price suggesting u can even organize it by fair unfair and good trades :D
Okay, thanks.
Another update.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15317903 - Selling at 1 key & 2 ref
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9860346 - Selling for 1 key
http://bazaar.tf/trade/505932 - Selling for 1 key & 2 ref