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Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14668983 - Orb Fire Marauder, other guy added TS Paint + S. Shotgun + S. L'etranger + V. Pyrovision = 1.6 buds
Side note: Took mid price of Marauder, but there is no original suggestion for it, so I have to use current :/
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14625438
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198023348565?time=1380610800 --->
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198023348565?time=1380697200
Orb Fire Anger + Green G. Cross-comm = 2.5 buds
Side note: Took mid price of Anger since it was offered on
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14191394 - Orb Fire Company Man + 3 keys = 1.7 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1920000859
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198069650770?time=1378364400 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198069650770?time=1378537200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14146240 - 1.2 buds (outlier)
Conclusion
4 sales, one's an outlier. Vote accordingly.
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
Nice Proof