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Proof stolen from Vince. Vince pls.
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198063731620?time=1380697200
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198063731620?time=1380524400
1:1 c. bubbles beanie (2.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15210707
1:1 steaming beak (2.1)2:1 steaming beak (2.1) + smoking broadband bonnet (1, original mid price *.9) = 3.1http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2022052496,817,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2016321540,315,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2022052493,30029,5
Looks like an outlier now. I'll come with counterproof later
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15319216 - b/o 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15042169 - b/o 3
But 3.1 is very close to 3 so I wouldn't consider it an outlier just because of that.
So I'm waiting.
Haven't had much time to look, but with it last being updated 3 weeks ago. Finding a traceable sale could be hard.
If you want to accept you can, but I'll keep looking
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15153429 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15223952
Sold probably 1:1 for a cauldroon bicorne (2.8).
Seeing this as counter suggestion and correcting a sale from the last time. Accepting.