The weight is over...Was originally going to suggest 4.66ref-5ref but after researching, I reconsidered.

Only using trades from 1 day (last 24 hours if you will), surprisingly sufficient amount of links.

Sellers/Solds:

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15338584 (sold 4.55ref, changed notes >>> http://i.imgur.com/sQoOoPS.png )

- http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9862063 (selling at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15337235 (selling at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15333572 (sold 2 at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15333112 (sold at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15332893 (selling at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15332142 (selling at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15325779 (sold at 4.66ref, changed notes >>> http://i.imgur.com/xgQWuTQ.png and yes, I'm quite well aware the screenshot name user's name is different from the name on the link. I don't know why? but it is the actual trade)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15323642 (selling at 4.88ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15322976 (sold at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15322663 (sold at 4.66ref)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15321853 (selling at 4.66ref)

- http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9860488 (selling at 4.66ref)

^ All within 1 day

found around 9 sellers at 4-4.33ref but they sold way too fast in-case if someone suggest if a lower range is need.

unsolds at 5 ref:

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15299157 (1 day old, backpack.tf prices)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15324923 (granted it is 17 hours)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15314560 (1 day)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15210800 (high end of BP prices...6 days...Its bumped regularly)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15314562 (1 day)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15233472 (4 days, last bumped 8 hours)

- http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15206165 (6 days, last bumped 6 hours)

^ the amount of people selling this for a key -_-' and the majority of unsolds are poorly bumped/sellers rarely online

So as you can see, plenty of people willing to go "below market price", mores sales of 4.66ref (and lower) occur than solds 5ref on a daily basis but even then, 5ref is quite difficult to sell.

Please let me know if I have any dupes, broken or invalid links, feel free to provide more, constructive criticism or counter proof and your feedback is alway welcomed.