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[proof below]
sold trades
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14494561
sold for a bud + 5 keys~1.3
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198018656806?time=1380178800
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198018656806?time=1381042800
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14358135
sold for a bud + 3 keys~1.2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13918465
sold for a bud~1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14954639 <----seems like the outlier
sold for a lantern geisha + planets panama~1.9 buds
1 buds sale sold in 6 hours
1.2 buds sale sold in 14 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13979003 - planets chapeau, in 3 days ~1.2
Eh. All of these honestly look like a chain of quicksells with no one putting it on the market for long enough to get full value. But at the very least, I would price this at 1.2-1.3.
ill resuggest