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Previous Sales:
http://i.imgur.com/CgNcYxy.png
http://i.imgur.com/ixIih6T.png
September 29: I paid Antifreeze Towering Titanium (11.4-15.2 now, unpriced at the time) + Bubbling Executioner (3-3.5) + 8 keys (buds were 19-20 keys at the time, so 0.4)
for a Kill-A-Watt Anger (7.8-9.1), Steaming Soldier Sloper (2.1-3), and a Steaming Impaler.
Since the Titanium at the time was unpriced and I was valuing it at what I paid for it: 11 Buds (I bought it for my Spectral Spectrum HOUWAR when Spectral was up there) So I paid 14.4-14.9 for 9.9-12.1 + Steaming Impaler. The difference there being 2.3-5 buds. The range here is really big because of the inconsistency with the Titanium
I then sold the Steaming Impaler for a Disco Soldered Sensei - 3.7-4.2
(He offered it to me on my outpost trade - I accepted.) This is a much more reasonable range.
I'm suggesting 3.5-4.5 as a blend of the two sales/overpay in the sales. If this isn't a good pricing from these sales please let me know below if I'm not following protocol :p
Just your sales aren't enough
There's only 2 in existence according to the stats, and the other was just unboxed. I dunno if that makes a difference tho, cause I guess it makes sense if you have to include other peoples sales. If that's the case that's cool if this get closed :p
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14556510 - looks like it sold for a PS tin topi + smoking festivizer ~3
Sensei would be ~3.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14550267 - phos LED - unpriced (he did have an offer of a nuts cranium + 1.4 pure which would be ~3.4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14319839 - sold in a multihat deal
Multihat deals shouldn't be used to set prices on new hats because it requires every single hat to be accurately priced, and that is really too much to ask. Other sales and offers seem to be in the 3-3.5 range.