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Price has become massively over-inflated due to the drop of buds in terms of keys. My buyout was 11 buds for awhile, and I recently reduced it to 10 buds and still didn't get a buyer. My trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14010770 is the only one that has been listed for months.
I ended up selling it today for a newly unboxed Misty Skull Swagman's Swatter and a Strange Festive Huntsman. Applying overpay, the value of the Swagman's is around 9.4 buds, and at 14 keys with buds at 16 keys, the SF Hunts is about .9 buds. Since my pure buyout of 10 buds wasn't met for a couple of weeks, I'll leave that as the low-end, and pure the 10.3 valuation of the items I got for it as the high-end. The girl I traded it to really wanted a birdcage, so considering none of the other 3 have been up for sale for months, and this was her dream hat + effect, I doubt another will be for sale for some time.
Your trade isn't the only one listed in recent times: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15077176 - but that one hasn't sold in a long time
Swagman is really ~9 after overpay (last suggested at 8.5-11.5). Add the huntsman and that sale is ~9.8. But this is pretty close, I guess.