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1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15027950 sold for 1 bud and 4 keys
= 1.3 buds
2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14863144 sold 1:1 for a kill a watt data mining light (not priced)
3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15169588 sold for 1 bud and 8 keys
= 1.5 buds
4) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14656148 + http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14584022 sold
sold 1:1 for a green black hole tricorne (2.4-2.9)
= 2.4 buds
edit, forgot to add this trade to the proof:
5) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14385755 + http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14638086 sold 1:1 for a vivid plasma bonk helm (1.6-2)
= 1.6 buds
Not sure if the 2.4 is an outlier :/
That GBH tricorne kinda screams outlier, doesn't it?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14638012 - sold for unpriced hat
And the bonk helm price is 9 months old.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14888271 - full month of selling, hardly getting offers >1
2.4 does look like an outlier. I would price this on other sales or wait til we get more info. Some of the early sales did go fast, so just waiting a bit on this may be best.