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Hey there, this is my first suggestion so sorry if it isn't up to par with other suggestions.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13541935 B/O of 5 was met
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13761046 B/O of 3. Sold for Putrescent Pigmentation Max Head
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14242655 Sold for Nutz Nickle Amassment + 1 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14484058 Sold for Orb Fire Anger + Strange Festive Scattergun
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15447988 B/O of 8. Sold with Strange Machina + some keys for Erie Anger
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15569824 B/O of 4.5
There seem to be more sells in the 3 bud range but the effect is one of the best and better than the current ones priced around 3.5
Very good proof for a first suggestion! Upvote :3
best name evar
upboat
Nuts Nickel + 1 would be 3 after overpay
Anger + SF scatter seems legit - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198071639581?time=1383375600 - ~5.2
Eerie Anger has an old price but that sale is unlikely >4
It just doesn't seem right to me to price this at 4-5.2 when it's 1 of 1 and available on the market at 4. The sale at 5 seems like an outlier.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15569824 - selling for 4 buds
Yea, while this trade is relatively new (~1 week), it is significantly less than 5 buds...
Yea now that I think about it the range would be better fitted at 3.5- 4.3
Where are you getting that range from? The problem here is that you need two defined sales to set the range. There are 2 defined recent sales: 3 and 5.2. The other two sales at 3 and 5 are old. I would say your best bet would be to price the eerie anger (which has an ancient price) and then to use that as proof here. Or you can just wait for one more sale.