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Proof below.
6 month-old price.
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15508924
-b/o of 2.5 buds
-offer of 2 buds
-bought smoking chapeau here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15333971
-1.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15290998
-kabuto+white bills sold for searing bonk helm=~1.3 buds clear outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15104401
-b/o of ~2.4 buds
-kabuto+1 key+v. hotrod bought peace kabuto (outdated) here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15206102
-buyer's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197992867223?time=1382338800
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197992867223?time=1382511600
-~1.8 buds, no overpay as offered
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15244809
-sold for 35 keys=~2.1 buds
-seller's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056812127?time=1383030000
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056812127?time=1383116400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14785738
-seems to have bought this stormy pot: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14859400
-1.8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15287303
-wanted ~1.7 buds (29 keys)
-kabuto+6 keys sold for 2 buds (so exact price) seen here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15287303 (doesn't seem to have sold during that time looking at bp history, so not quicksell?)
-buyer's bp shows the 7 keys
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198068310619?time=1382770800
-~1.7 buds, close enough
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15211277
-stormy kabuto sold for smoking kabuto+6 keys
-~1.8 buds
Current trades (with prices):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15311920
-wants 2 buds, more than 2 weeks
-offer of lantern hot dogger+3 keys=~2.1 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7914420
-b/o of 2.5 buds, insanely old trade
Sales: 1.3, 1.7, 1.8, 1.8, 1.8, 1.9, 2.1
1.7 may look a bit low but quite a few offers are around 1.7 and it's close enough really. 2.1 is from the sale and and an offer. This is kind of a reconfirmation; the median is still the same as original. Unusual overpay and original prices used.
Proof is good. Upvoted