Original price: 4-5.1 [1 year old]

Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15568855 - Cloudy Moon Stately Steel Toe + sweets <> Cloudy Moon Carouser's Capotain (offered on, 3.15 original mid-price)

Tough to track down sweets, but it appears a Kringle Collection([url]http://backpack.tf/item/2024065005[/url]), Festive Huntsman ([url]http://backpack.tf/item/1358133164[/url]). Cuban Bristle Crisis ([url]http://backpack.tf/item/2034335661[/url]) and possibly more were added. 3+ keys' worth.

Total sale: ~3 buds

Cloudy Moon Stately Steel Toe ([url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2019248250,481,5[/url]) <> Knifestorm Big Elfin Deal ([url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2052897222,652,5[/url] see my Big Elfin Deal suggestion)

Total sale: ~2.8 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15060083 - Cloudy Moon Stately Steel Toe (+sweets? can't tell) <> Electrostatic Dr's Dapper Topper

Total sale: ~3.15 buds (Dapper original suggestion mid-price x 0.9)