Price Suggestion
Refined Metal
Submitted by Kafe
~$0.03
Unique Refined Metal
1274 votes up
274 votes down
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Comments

Proof bellow so view before you vote,

Paragraph about the suggestion first though


Since my last refined metal suggestion passed a few weeks ago, I've been trying to do it again, but for a while the proof about was very much pathetic, time went past and there is now enough to work with, source-op, outpost and bazaar users have started to sell at different prices and I'm going to try another suggestion, this time though it is to change the lower range.


I think there is enough proof to make 0.31 USD the bottom range, a lot more people are at that price and people are more willing to pay that price now, I've seen 0.30 USD around but their stock is always very limited 9or at least the ones I saw) So I am assuming that 0.30 is a rather cheap price.


I was also going to consider 0.33 USD becoming the new higher range but 0.31USD and 0.32 USD has dominated the others and 0.33 USD is one I'm still not sure that many people are paying for. I even listed most of the 0.33 trades as just a possibility.


Again like last time, trades with prices outside of the discussed range is only for future reference as that is very useful, not just for me but for others too.


And a note to the mods and pricing experts watching this suggestion.

If I am doing anything wrong please feel free to call me out on it, its the only way things can improve.


MUST HAVE SALES UNDER 3 WEEKS

Any proof here that are selling for higher than my suggested range is just for future reference!


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10671185 0.40 USD (maybe a sale but probably just the keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8910082 0.40 USD (out of stock, wait? WHAT)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8753784 0.36 USD


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11292408 0.35 USD

http://bazaar.tf/trade/533074 0.35 USD


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14012933 0.33 USD (possible sales, very unsure so I will ask the trader later on)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10319745 0.33 USD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14104719 0.33 USD (possibly)

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/150281-Refined-Metal-0-33 (possible)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10685431 0.33 USD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15547012 0.33 USD (maybe)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10685431 0.33 USD (selling, but not at a rate enough to make it good for the upper range)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13750947 0.32 USD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15699029 0.32 USD

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/152492-Refined-0-32-Keys-2-00-First-Time-Buyers-Welcome 0.32 USD

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/152929-keys-1-95-Ref-0-32 0.32 USD

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/152286-Refined-Metal-0-32-USD-NO-FEES!!-300-Stock 0.32 USD

http://bazaar.tf/trade/357521 0.32 USD (willing buyer, possibly already brought)

http://bazaar.tf/trade/344792 0.32 USD


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10614459 0.31 USD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15097170 0.31 USD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15125741 0.31 USD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10614459 0.31 USD

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15097170 0.31 USD (Almost sold out)

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/149363-Ref-for-0-31-and-keys-for-1-91-Paypal-each 0.31 USD (almost sold out)

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/150946-Keys-1-95-Refined-0-31-Paypal 0.31 USD

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/145253-Refined-Metal-0-31/page2 0.31 USD


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13560330 0.30 USD (sold out)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/386215 0.30 USD (boom, just went in under a day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15723795 0.30, Selling quick (2 ref left)


I'm just going to point this one out and explain why it has poor sales too

http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/128671-Keys-1-93-USD-Refineds-0-30-USD 0.30 USD

The traders requirements are quite a bit 6 years old account being one of the rules that really stand out, probably why it has poor sales.


I kinda made the range a bit much as well so I guess this will be good for closing that large range.


I will also say one more thing,

If metal goes up, keys will not drop because of it.

Its all to do with supply and demand, a item with good demand will be going up and more people will supply it hence why you see so much proof in key suggestions. These things are not effected by the other so please take note of that and save those comments like last time, so many of them...


I WILL BE GATHERING MORE PROOF OVERTIME

    actually, if you do some math, 6.22 ref currently is only worth about $2, you can buy a key in the mann co store for $2.50, i think that refined metal needs a larger bump up than this

      Trust me,

      although the math is good to back that it will only be able to depend on the market, sales and demand come in to play in this as proof is one of the most important things we need to focus on.

      That logic is amazing

      "Things to check...

      -6 years old account

      -3000+ hrs of TF2

      -100+ games owned

      -Steam account Lvl 27

      "


      its not the requirements, it no stock...


        Yeah I noticed that but its impossible to fix that now.

        So I'm stuck with looking like a bit of a nob

          Thank you for the support.

          Noticed one of the proofs at 0.30 USD was linking to the traders bp, here is the real trade

          http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15705124

          Staying neutral for now not enough proof :I

          (its a currency so that's why it needs TONS of proof)

          GL on this one otherwise :)

            Then more will be provided for you :)

              Thanks I will vote when proof is sufficient :)

              (It looks good so far)

            Looks good to me at the moment, but you best supply more proof because it's such a common item and of course, a currency essentially.

              Like the above, I am getting more proof as time goes on, don't forget that while it may be a currency, there is actually not many who do sell it for real world cash, its mainly to buy in game items and keys.

                I will be happy to add you and explain how it works, also with your proof you need to make sure that there are some that took a while to sell, not very fast.

                  they are below the current range, so either way it doesnt matter if some have sold

                  As of posting:

                  1st link=sold out

                  2nd link=poorly bumped

                  3rd link=same as above

                  4th link=sold out

                  5th link=Okay

                  6th link=Bulk ONLY

                  7th link=Too young

                  8th link=Unbumped

                  9th link=Okay

                  10th link=WAYYYY TOO YOUNG-ONLY 29 MIN (as of posting)!!!!

                  Only 2 links are valid.

                  Sorry but no good counterproof.

                    Thanks for Pointing those out for me, i can even use those 0.30 ones to probably show that 0.30 can go fast.

                    Stay awesome.

                      Im adding more links too...


                      also, im trying to prove that just LOOKING for 5 minutes that i can easily pick a few up for ~.3 (or less)

                        Last 5 you added from tf2op

                        1st link at 25 cents=Sold out

                        2nd link at 30 cents=With fees

                        3rd link as above=Sold out

                        4th link=2 ref left very quickly sold

                        5th link=Okay

                        6 link=Okay

                    Nice proof ! :) Upvote from me c


                    I bet this suggestion will be on the front page for a couple of days :P

                      Any trade more than 1 month old is not valid proof for two reasons

                      (1) You cannot tell when the last time they sold for and at what price

                      (2) These sellers constantly change their selling price. Just because it is listed today at .32 doesn't mean the add 2-3 weeks ago was a sale at .32.

                      A lot of the proof presented is not valid.

                        Then I will improve on it.

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10671185 0.40 USD (maybe a sale but probably just the keys) Hasnt Sold In Months

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8910082 0.40 USD (out of stock, wait? WHAT) Hasnt Sold In Months


                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8753784 0.36 USD Sold To ONE Buyer In The Last 2 Months


                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11292408 0.35 USD ONE Willing Buyer After 3 Months

                        http://bazaar.tf/trade/533074 0.35 USD


                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14012933 0.33 USD (possible sales, very unsure so I will ask the trader later on)Hasnt Sold Any

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10319745 0.33 USD Selling For .29. Not .33

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14104719 0.33 USD Hasnt Sold Any

                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/150281-Refined-Metal-0-33 Hasnt Sold Any

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10685431 0.33 USD 3 Small Buyers In The Last 5 Months


                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13750947 Sold Some, But Its Still In The Current Range

                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/152492-Refined-0-32-Keys-2-00-First-Time-Buyers-Welcome 0.32 USD Hasnt Sold Any[/b[

                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/152929-keys-1-95-Ref-0-32 0.32 USD [b]Hasnt Sold Any

                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/152286-Refined-Metal-0-32-USD-NO-FEES!!-300-Stock 0.32 USD Sold A Few

                        http://bazaar.tf/trade/357521 0.32 USD (willing buyer, possibly already brought) Bought Quickly

                        http://bazaar.tf/trade/344792 0.32 USD


                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10614459 0.31 USD Hasnt Sold Much, He Has Other Items

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15097170 0.31 USD Hasnt Sold Much

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15125741 0.31 USD 3 Sales In A Month

                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15097170 0.31 USD Only A Few Willing Buyers

                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/149363-Ref-for-0-31-and-keys-for-1-91-Paypal-each 0.31 USD Many Key Sales, No Ref

                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/150946-Keys-1-95-Refined-0-31-Paypal 0.31 USD Sold None

                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/145253-Refined-Metal-0-31/page2 0.31 USD Sold Once In Months

                          0.30 USD seems to be going fast and anything above 0.33 seems to not sell so the proposed range seems to be okay. Thanks for the proof BTW :)

                            I'm not sure why you Pointed out errors in trades that are only for future reference.

                              1st link. sold out

                              2nd link unbumped since july 9th

                              3rd link you pay the fees

                              4th link just says it sold, only needed to bump once and that was back in 2010 -_-

                              5th link 2 days old and 17 hours without a bump.

                              6th link very much no stock and you pay fees


                              I can go on...

                                Right you are! Reposting bad counterproof won't change anything.

                                  Applies to the outpost trades:

                                  As of posting:

                                  1st link=sold out

                                  2nd link=poorly bumped

                                  3rd link=same as above

                                  4th link=sold out

                                  5th link=Okay

                                  6th link=Bulk ONLY

                                  7th link=Too young

                                  8th link=Unbumped

                                  9th link=Okay

                                  10th link=WAYYYY TOO YOUNG-ONLY 29 MIN (as of posting)!!!!

                                    Applies to the sourceop trades:

                                    1st=poorly bumped

                                    2nd=Almost out (2 left)

                                    3rd=Sold out

                                    4th=Sold, only one bump and posted in 2010(<-wtf)

                                    5th=Sold out

                                    6th=Okay (4 ref left)

                                    7th=Fees

                                    8th=Fees

                                    9th=Fees

                                      So for future reference check your trades first please.

                                      (I have nothing to do on a friday afternoon/evening)

                                        Thank you for all the support you've given

                                Please check the trades+backpacks before posting.

                                Almost all of them are sold out/too young/unbumped and that sort of good stuff.

                                upvoteee..!

                                  Honestly, guys, does it really matter? It's like a one-cent difference.

                                    Have you checked the other ref suggestions that pass. almost all are 1 cent differences.

                                      The Mann Co. supply crate keys wanna say "Hi!".

                                        If someone has a high amount of refined metal, it will greatly effect their wealth. And also if you are buying in bulk 1 cent could be converted into $1.

                                        Unrelated question, but is Valve trying to reduce metal with these Chemistry sets?


                                        I won't be surprised if this Chirstmas the festives are Chem Sets that can be applied to regular weapons to make the third generation festives

                                          Then lose out on the massive key profits, I doubt it to be honest mate. VALVe may be a nice company but they all need money and festive keys is one of their most profitable items (except for regular keys of course)

                                          I think I'll give this an upvote. While your proof is a bit underwhelming, it is still proof and most of the counterproofs I've seen here are invalid.

                                            Pardon me for pointing out that one cent really doesn't make that much of a difference.

                                              Pardon me for pointing out that you said that already :)

                                                I wrote this since I received 5 thumbs down on my previous one.

                                              This is a currency (as I said before) firstly you need a <edit: bad word> ton of proof to support it, because "just one cent" can rock the whole economy boosting or lowering bp prices because some people care about that (obviously not you).

                                                It's one cent. A penny. If you had a hundred ref, your bp is now worth a dollar more. And don't go telling me that people profit in real life money from TF2, because you could make more money doing literally anything. Think about it. If I mowed someone's lawn, I would probably make 15-20 dollars, which I could use to buy about 60 ref.

                                                  I'm not saying that. Its just that this is ->CURRENCY<- and a very common item. Lots of people have it. You ->BUY<- stuff with it.

                                                  With your experience longevity I would have though you to be more understanding.

                                                      What does it being a common item and it being used to buy in-game items have to do with people squabbling over a cent? That is no response to what I said.

                                                  I guess you don't know how badly it affects unusual pricing.

                                                    It really doesn't matter, man. If you're trying to profit off of TF2, you can make more money doing literally anything else.

                                                      Did you actually read what I said? Unusual pricing.

                                                      That is still no reason to not do a suggestion, is it? It is not only the keys that needs to be updated from time to time

                                                        I didn't say that it doesn't need a suggestion.

                                                    Got hold of some more, I will gather some more in time.


                                                    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15207622 0.33 USD been selling (feel free to check)


                                                    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15615356 0.31 USD one user willing to buy 64.


                                                    http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13560330 0.30 USD, completely sold out, none left in his bp at all

                                                      1st link=Almost sold out-so proof of selling (2 ref left)

                                                      2nd link=Okay

                                                      3rd link=Sold out (so ref is going fast at that price)

                                                        I'm glad you review over these things, a second opinion is really useful.

                                                      I am Dutch, USD doesn't count here. We've got some of them crappie Euro's xD

                                                        I'm a brit so USD is not something I would normally work with, but USD is the most traded currency so I got to work with it.

                                                        One more before I sleep

                                                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/152652-Selling-Keys-1-95-Refined-metal-32-Buds-31-50 0.32 USD (sold out) Posted november 7th

                                                          idk if this proof is good or bad some links are not good and some are so idk for now ill say down vote but maybe I'm looking at it wrong :/

                                                            Which ones do you have problems with? maybe I will be able to explain them to you.

                                                              i looked more into it and i think I'm going to up vote now :3

                                                                Thank you for your support.

                                                            Found some more proof!


                                                            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15595590 Sold 5 for .35 USD

                                                            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15729988 Selling for .32 USD

                                                            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9211205 Sold some for .32 USD


                                                            Hope these help! I'm glad people are starting to use Refined again ^_^

                                                              Thank you for helping me to support the upper range.

                                                                You're welcome!

                                                                You know the drill:

                                                                Link 1=Sorry none actually bought just posted.

                                                                Link 2=New and unsold but he has sold some on steamtrades at the price (can be used).

                                                                Link 3=Sold out around 6 months ago (too old to use).

                                                                  Link 2 is almost out of stock so usable.

                                                                This trade is opened and closed several times!

                                                                It is admin and site owner!


                                                                Refined Metal: ($0.32) ($0.30 for staff or bulk purchases) - Sold out! - 779 sold in total - http://bazaar.tf/trade/18646

                                                                  Sold out about a week ago.

                                                                  #RiseOfTheRef

                                                                    "I'm just going to point this one out and explain why it has poor sales too

                                                                    http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/128671-Keys-1-93-USD-Refineds-0-30-USD 0.30 USD

                                                                    The traders requirements are quite a bit 6 years old account being one of the rules that really stand out, probably why it has poor sales."


                                                                    It's not a requirement, it's for people to confirm they're trading with the legitimate person.

                                                                      ho for quicksell..

                                                                      But remember, for each link, there may be many sales. People sell to many different people, not just in one link, like they only had one. These people have lots of refined, and often have a [sold = ] thing in their trade. I do think this reflects market value.

                                                                        One to watch over for a little while, possibly sold but I can't confirm that yet. on my watch list for now

                                                                        http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/130215-Keys-1-94-1-45%80-each-Refined-0-32-0-24%80-each-Earbuds-31-23%80/page11 0.32 USD

                                                                          I wouldn't consider any of this proof, just experience, but I've sold a bit of metal in the past week at $0.30 plus fees, and the buyers seemed very happy about that price.


                                                                          Also, I've recently sold keys at 2.00, as have others. If keys can sell for $1.95 or $2 flat, and keys are 6.11-6.22 refined, use a bit of math and that would imply a refined should be about $0.32.


                                                                          Again, no proof in this comment, but a USD price increase for refined is completely expected to follow a USD price increase for keys.


                                                                          Also, if I sell any more metal for >$0.30, I'll be sure to screenshot it and give you teh proofz. :3

                                                                            I think I included your outpost advertisment in this proof. yup right here

                                                                            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15699029


                                                                            Any screenshots of proof you can provide will be great, if you get any sales then post them at will :)

                                                                            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15318714 0.33 USD

                                                                            Just one more find, I will get some more as they become available.


                                                                            Also why I'm here I want to thank those who have been providing me with support proof and disproving the counter-proof that one user was posting without checking them.

                                                                              The last couple posted while I was offline look ok :D

                                                                              ref has gone back up, and quite a few times now, wow.


                                                                              and i was wondering why my bp value was raised like 10$. ive been gone for far too long.


                                                                              anyway, i dont see any compelling counter-proof so you have my upvote until said counter proof is presented!

                                                                                Glad to see your support

                                                                                  http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/126480-Ref-0-31 - Let's lean back and see how this goes. Since it's the low end they should go pretty fast, right?


                                                                                  PS: Just edited my trade, so this is only a few minutes old.

                                                                                    Sold all 50 ref now. And he would have bought more. Now let's double check all the other proof again.

                                                                                    VOTING (1412) and it's already reached the positive votes barrier. That's gotta be some kind of record.

                                                                                      Doesn't really matter about the votes, some key suggestions have had less than 45% of upvotes and still were accepted

                                                                                      http://backpack.tf/vote/id/527825e34dd7b8b4328b4568

                                                                                        That's because 99% of the voters are biased. Yes, it's a fact.

                                                                                        Although, I do agree with this suggestion in some way.

                                                                                      how about you stop screwing with the metal and bring it back to 1.00

                                                                                        How about you post something that:


                                                                                        Is productive

                                                                                        Takes into account what the current state of the TF2 economy is

                                                                                        Has supporting proof/etc.