Price Suggestion
Strange Medi Gun
Submitted by flyte
~28.61 ref
Strange Medi Gun
185 votes up
113 votes down
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Comments

Updating a 2 month old price that is inaccurate.

As always, please take my proof into consideration when voting.


Quicksells

(Many willing to sell discounted because current price is slow or unsuccessful)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15721254 0.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15722749 0.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15716636 0.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15725491 0.66, 4 in stock all sold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15756687 0.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15758153 0.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15739784 0.77

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15763569 0.77

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15717527 0.77


Sold at 0.88

(Users willing to buy at this price, also shows a good amount of people willing to sell at this price)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15760844

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15756396

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15756705

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15718238

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15755869

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15752647

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15740340

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15718602


Unsolds at 1 ref

(Shows that demand has gone down and users are not willing to pay this price for it)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15718738 1 day, "I have over 200 of these"

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15730469 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15731676 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15708524 2 days, bp.tf prices

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15703362 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15701566 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15715964 2 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15672558 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15668472 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15671106 4 days, lowest bp.tf prices

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15655870 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15648537 5 days, bp.tf high end

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15658423 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15663908 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15662536 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15640883 6 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15639854 6 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15553083 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15512302 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15573463 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15452025 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15306908 2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15401748 2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15178292 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15272895 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15132647 4 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15009348 1 month, bp.tf "higher end"

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14858008 1 month


Prices from Trading Websites

Trade.tf: 0.88-1

Backpack.tf: 1

Tf2Spreadsheet: 0.66


Classified Listings

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200428f4bd7b87c22000009

0.88 - 1 listing

0.95 - 1 listing

1 ref - 48 unsold listings


Conclusion

Originally exclusively available in Crate #26, this strange healing device was re-introduced in Crate #55, leading to an influx of Medi Guns. According to stats.tf (http://stats.tf/item/211/Medi_Gun), the Medi Gun is ranked 5th in most unboxed strange, with 173 THOUSAND copies and an equip rate of 106,845 (61.76%) equipped. With stranges, equip rate is usually equivalent to the demand of the item. The equipped stranges usually signifies that the owner bought the medi gun to use it. As you can see, the demand, or equip rate is not even close to the number of copies that exist. The demand does not match the supply. In this case, the demand is much lower than the supply. Therefore, not many are willing to buy for the 1 ref price, but instead buy for the discounted price.

The proof above shows an abundance of quicksells under 0.88, and a massive number of unsolds at 1 ref. After 2 months, this price needs to go down, as the sells at 0.88 outnumber those at 1 ref.


Comments, hates, loves, suggestions, and even counter-suggestions are welcome. Thank you for your time and I will reiterate: please take my proof into consideration when voting.

    While it is hard to sell at 1 ref (due to the huge amount of trades, just common knowledge of having lots of competition makes it harder) I don't think that .88 should be in the range.


    Your unsolds at 1 ref are almost all not bumped frequently, leading to invalid proof. As for me, I've already sold a few.

    Most on backpack.tf sell at 1 ref even, which I believe is fair:


    http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200428f4bd7b87c22000009


    Also on tf2outpost, 1 ref is a common price:

    [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11427399[/url]

    [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15680605[/url]

    [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15680605[/url]


    Quick sales usually go for .88 to .95 ref, but honestly a 1 ref strange is a good deal, especially for a medic who's looking to pimp out their load out (that's me).

      My quicksell section shows that the quicksells are not 0.88 or 0.95, but 0.66-0.77 and lower

        I know I went searching through your listings after I made my post hoping to find one at your suggested quicksell prices, you're totally right on .66 ref

          I just bought one for .88 ref, I should have read your review first buddy. Sorry about that.

        I actually support this to be lower


        Ive had these 2 mediguns for a while now: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15746493 (much longer than the trade suggests)

          The classifieds are a fair window to the state of the market:

          http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200428f4bd7b87c22000009


          You've got .88 solds and that's it - the reason your .88 are solds is because everything else than 1 ref is a quicksell. Quicksells are not proof.


          Nor are unsolds.


          Downvote.

            http://i.imgur.com/wd73jZn.png - Putted on classies and two ppl added me in less than 5 mins ..

            http://i.imgur.com/LgBqrGG.png


            Sorry, but this is a downvote. Current price seems fine.~

              i sold a lot of mediguns for 1 ref..

                It seems 1 ref sales still do happen, as some of those 1 ref are now sold. A few of the .88 ones are unsold, but those are poorly bumped. It seems 1 ref is still a somewhat stable price, and anything lower gets sold rather quickly.