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I've waited three days after the last suggestion...
Solds 19 keys ~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809668 - 19 (had more than 8, sold within an hour)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809696 - 19 (sold within an hour)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810096 - 19 (sold within a bump)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810619 - 19 (sold within a bump)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15811395 - 19 (sold within 2 hours)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812393 - 19 (sold within an hour - had 4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15813151 - 19 (sold within an hour)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15813439 - 19 (sold within a bump)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15814887 - 19 (1 is sold)
http://puu.sh/5mFMI.png - Sold at 19
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15821845 - sold 19
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15818331 - sold 19keys + 2.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810860 - 19.7 (sold within a bump)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822464 - Sold 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822885 - Selling for 20 , but there is 1 offer of 19 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822464
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820827
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15821999 - 1 19 keys offer , rejected
Solds 20 keys or more ~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15813822 - 20 (sold 4 within a bump)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810566 - 20 (sold within a bump)
http://i.imgur.com/ZmA0A9g.png - 20 (sold 2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15776820 - Sold 5 at 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/168693199,13 - Sold 1 at 21 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809679 - Offer of 17 keys pure and 3 in items (rejected)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7268177 - Offer of 21 keys + pink paint
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822990 - 21 keys , sold 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820963 - 20 keys , sold 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822885 - 20 keys , sold 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15818135 - 20 keys .
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15824520 - 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15824458 - Sold 4 at 20 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15823425 - Sold 1 at 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810248 - Sold at 20.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820999 - Sold at 21 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809226 - Sold 2 at 20 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15640993 - Sold 2 at 20 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15624672 - 2 adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812122 - Offered 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15816883 - Offered 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15216131 - 1 add
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15827839 - 1 add
Buyers :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15804189 - 1 day , not bought
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15343890 - Buying for 18 keys and 2 ref .
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822350 - Buying 4 for 19.5 keys each , bought 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15798928 - Buying for 18 keys , 1 day old trade ,not bought
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15578687 - Buying for 18
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812643 - Buying for 18 , not bought
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15823013 - Buying for 18 keys + 3.00 , new trade
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15030877 - Buying for 18
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15823591 - Bought at 20
~~~~~There are A LOT of UNSUCCEFULL buyers for less than 18 keys~~~~~~~
Most of your proof for 19 was copy pasted from my suggestion, lol.
Still can buy @18 pretty quick. Downvote.
any proof?
Bought yesterday and sold, check my trades. Mr.Holmes.
Mr. Holmes...I havent laughed so good for a long time :')
I looked at your backpack history for the past 3 days, no earbuds. Also, the price remaining at 18-20 caused some players to sell for 18 keys. Mr. special guy
Damn you got one person to offer, that's proof enough me. Shut her down boys!
you're funny, people like it:)
Every owner of earbuds has to dislike my comment. Because (WARNING: Opinion) Earbuds are useless.
what are you buying them for?
Yeah all those people are oblivious to the fact that this suggestion should be instantly closed for all those old proof... and that my counter proof is more recent and this suggestion is rather invalid
like every other hat in tf2
Considering you and 7 others added me for buds at 18.5. (4-5 immediately after my post in classifieds as well) I think 18 is easily a quicksale price.
*bazaar.tf
I posted on bazaar.tf, classifieds, and outpost.
First time doing a counter proof shit
Unsolds at 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15854295
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15868270
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15849828
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15841456 ( the bud in the trade appeared to be sold away, however, trade owner has multiple buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15840256
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15841001( the bud in the trade appeared to be sold away, however, trade owner has multiple buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15867795
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15840256
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15849968 (sold some tho)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15855919
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15845914
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15866149
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15865831
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15864987
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15865465
Unsolds at less than 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15866290
Couldve got more but i believe this is enuf to remove 20 keys from the range
some bad conter proof
Unsolds at less than 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15866290 - sold 2 for 19.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15865465 - have 19 keys offer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15849968 - sold 4 for 19 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15840256 - sold one for 20 keys
all this links from your conterproof
and all the unsolds at 20 keys are young
upvote
More counter proof
all are 20 keys except for those marked
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15850816 (19.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15871419
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15832662
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15871287
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15844034
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15862009
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15855919
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15867795
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15850820
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15872216
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873170
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15853417
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15858937
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15827634 (offer of 19.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820991
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873875
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873850
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15874615 ( lvl 42, new, but let's see if it will get sold)
And i believe that this being a currency, you cant call those trades "young". Because currencies are generally most traded, and hence, if they are of a reasonable price, they should get off the market rather fast. Correct me if I'm wrong.
And you only picked out 4 of my counter proof, in which Im suggesting that 20 keys be off the range, hence only 1 of the disproved counter-proof is valid
"embraces myself for dislikes, everyone wants dem buds to go up"
Also, all the proofs for 20 keys are 3+ days old. Its probably, IMO, because of the hype, hence people paid a rather large sum for them.
plus, i noticed in one of the links, the 20 key seller has reduced his price down to 19.5 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820963
Solds 20 keys around 3+ days ago~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15813822
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810566
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15776820
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809679
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7268177
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822990
http://i.imgur.com/ZmA0A9g.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820963
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822885
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15818135 .
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15824520
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15824458
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15823425
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810248
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820999
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809226
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15640993
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15624672
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812122
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15816883
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15216131
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15827839
And yes, these are almost everything, with the exception of the search links
Why do i think they are invalid? It is because the previous bud suggestion was 3 days ago, it would not be feasible to use old links which are also around 3 days ago, we are suggesting a new price, and old links represents old price. And some of the links are from the previous suggestions -.-
Edit: Even the 19 keys proof are old. This suggestion shouldnt be here O.O
he is raising the lower end by 1 key, you need to show that there are alot of sellers at 19 keys or that 19 keys goes slowly.
Quite a few of your links have also sold proving that 20 keys does happen :P
Majority are unsold... not sure bout it :c
Some which have sold which you had listed as unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15832662 (sold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15844034 (sold all 3)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15855919 (sold 1)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15867795 (sold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15853417 (sold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15858937 (sold 1)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820991 (sold 1)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873875 (sold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873850 (sold)
18 is quick sell, 19 keys happens pretty fast, 20 does happen but does seem to take longer idk :S
All the sold links are actually dupes :P
In fact, only the 2nd link and the last links are legitly sold.
20 keys might be outlier...
And i tried to sell buds for 20 keys, pretty effin' darn difficult
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/51fffc244bd7b8440d000007
More counter proof of 19 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15893612 (19 keys+ 2ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15893759 (18.5 keys, unsold though)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15897750 (sold at 19)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15899022 (unsold at 19)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15899262 (sold at 19)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15899966 (sold at 19)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15900850 (weird dude. Probably sold, 19.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15901712 (19 unsold, young)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15902666 (18 sold)
Not going to try to find more, its night here. Maybe next morning or something.
Time to continue >:D
Update: Some bots are starting to sell at less than 20 keys, Bud dispenser bot is selling at 19 keys and a ref
Unsold at 20 keys :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15916280
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15916753
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15917382
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15917671
http://bazaar.tf/trade/550729
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15916041
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15915269
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15913140
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15913140
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912811
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15911527
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912811
Unsold at below 20, above 19:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15913043( 19 keys 5 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15915454(19.5keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15911991(19.5keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14648748(19keys + 1ref)
Unsold at 19 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15916747
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15917900
http://bazaar.tf/trade/550603
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15914537
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912389( added, but hidden)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15918564
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912389
Edits: 19 keys sometimes are left unsold (since derpy claims that my "counter-proof" is helping the suggestion
Proof: (taken from my previous proofs)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912389
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15917900 (1 hr, closed, but unsold)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15914537
http://bazaar.tf/trade/550603
Over 19 keys and unsold, but below 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14648748 (Whats more hilarious is that its a bot, selling at 19keys 1 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15911991 19.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15915454 19.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15913043 19 keys 5 ref
More unsolds at 19
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15901712
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15899022
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15893612
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15925753
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15922545
http://bazaar.tf/trade/550916
http://prntscr.com/26dr6f
http://prntscr.com/26dr48
Abundance of buds at 19 keys, and as i have proved that 20 keys is a very difficult sale and that it should be classified as an outlier, I think that the price be at 19 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15823174 <-- declined 19 keys. ( ME :D)
U got any offers of 20 keys?
noup, i don't even know that is people ready to offer me when i did decline 19 keys offer and said that i am just looking for offers :p
Please follow the rules for commenting on suggestions, this website is for price guide and discussion of prices only.
I think this deserves an upvote, despite what others may think i can only go off what i have seen, in the last 2 days i have seen buds sell rather easily for 19 keys and 19 keys + 3-4 ref. I think 19 - 20 better suits what people are willing to pay right now. I am going to sell a couple of mine and come back with some proof. =]
the problem is that all your 18 key buyers have succesfully bought buds
K looks good so far...
I've waited 3 days...
Yes, your suggestion matches the rules.
"Please allow for 3 days before suggestions that alter the mean of bud's value by 0.5 keys or more (eg. 18 keys to 17-18 keys, or 18 keys to 18-19 keys)."
3 days have passed, this suggestion alters the price by 0.5 keys.
So it seems you have re-read the cooldown rule again. Is swearing still the way to react for you?
I am not at all defending nerd baller's rude comments. But his point behind all his comments is still cannot be denied either. The moderators of backpack.tf and defenders of backpack.tf have to agree that no cool-down rule can defend hype train created by a suggestion approved on backpack.tf. There had been numerous arguments/ counter arguments but this had been a perfect example of backpack'tf's role in the price manipulation. Moreover, one of the moderators in your team broke the cool-down rule and even after admitting the mistake failed to reverse the mistake when it could have been easily fixed, again fuelling the hype train. So I think it is now time for you guys to accept some responsibility of this price manipulation.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/528a3e124cd7b878018b4569 --> http://puu.sh/5puJO.png
There they argumented about that situation.
I guess it would have been better to mark the 1st suggestion as closed and only show the 2nd suggestion as accepted. Or like polar bear mentioned there, consider the 2nd suggestion as counter suggestion to the first, since the price seemed to be 17 keys already at the time the 1st was accepted. ("Exceptions are allowed for counter suggestions, where you're resuggesting the previous earbud value out of the argument that the mod had made an incorrect decision in accepting the current value.")
And don't forget the other 9 suggestions we closed due the cooldown rule.
Ha ha I love exceptions. But anyhow what's done is done. Now, I would only request moderators to think about backpack.tf's role in community pricing, and do something to curb this hype train. First step towards this could be stop entertaining suggestions with +/- negligible price differences. Just one suggestion from an over ambitious suggester, approved by a conformist moderator and exploited by shrewd traders led to an increase from 16-20 keys within days.
So because the 16-16.5 key suggestion got accepted the price is 20 keys now? If bp.tf would have such a strong influence why didn't people keep selling at 16.5 keys? Why didn't it stop when the price was 17 keys for many hours...
And if we wouldn't want to curb the hype train (possibly) amplified by bp.tf, there would be no cooldown in the first place.
I guess no one was expecting that big jump in such a short time, but it seems the price has been stabilized kinda.
You were the only one, I believe, who did not expect such a huge rise, everyone else did. I like the way when you say so many hours. It feels ironical somehow.
Do I really need to answer "f bp.tf would have such a strong influence why didn't people keep selling at 16.5 keys?" ?
The mods had a long discussion about how to handle this unique situation presented to us. This huge jump in price within 1 DAY is unprecedented for any kind of currency, even keys when they were at the peak of their rise. There is nothing else to call this situation but an exception that has never been seen by the community before. By the time the 16-16.5 suggestion was accepted all 18 key sellers were gone and most 19 key sellers were gone. We then raised the question, do we let the price sit for the 3 days of cooldown and continually misinform people about the buds price? We were off by 2.5 keys, which is preposterous. We ultimately decided as a team we would much rather reflect an accurate price so that sellers who missed the dramatic change wouldn't get picked off as easy prey selling at 16-17 keys only to be resold by these predators camping outpost for 19 keys. This had happened several times to unsuspecting sellers, and as a moderation team, we felt it our responsibility to inform the community of the situation.
There is simply no other way to describe this rise other than a dramatic anomaly. It CANNOT be compared to the buds fall which happened over a month. This rise happened within 1 day and was largely beyond bp.tf's influence.
It seems you missed the main point, so I'll say it again.
A 3 key rise of buds in 1 day is not at all like the rise / fall of any currency we have seen in the last 3 years. Buds were already at 19 keys BEFORE the 17 key (second suggestion) was accepted. This is a complete anomaly. If you can't see that, then we will just have to disagree. But it seems like your mind is set on the matter.
19-20 is too low 18-19 keys is quicksell,maybe just 20 keys?
I have to think about it , not sure atm
How is 19-20 too low when there are several on outpost asking 19 + 3 ref or 19 + 4 ref and not sold yet? Plus just check classifieds here, several for under 20. 18 definitely needs to be removed from range though.
Upvote
More proof...
19.5: http://puu.sh/5pseJ.png http://puu.sh/5psg8.png http://puu.sh/5psgJ.png http://puu.sh/5pshp.png
EDIT: Selling at 20 is trouble-some. Price should be 19-19.5
19.5 is in the range, you're not really disproving anything y'know.
20 is possible , sold 7 at 20.
there's a 20 key suggestion with proof there.
Just saying i was selling decently at 20 keys (within a few hours) then hoarders decided to spam everywhere then it took longer :P
19.5 is still in the range and 20 keys is still possible
Now please explain that in English?
Back to the old tf2 tradition in trading by standard bud value, keys wouldnt effect it
Why should that price be 20 keys? Why not 10 Keys? or 15? or how about 25? or maybe even 30? Why is 20 the right price?
//Please show me one legitimate currency that never fluctuates. USD goes up and down, the British Pound goes up and down, the Euro goes up and down, hell look at bitcoins--they went up $300 over the course of a week. Currencies aren't stable, nor should they be.
That would be great, From 2 days i sold 1 of mine Earbuds for 20 keys !
after 4 hours of searching, couldn't find 1 simple bud for 19 keys
i finally broke down and bought one for 20
been seeing them get sold for 20
in fact, here's my buy: http://i.imgur.com/0Pf2PrF.png
God it's so sudden how these things rose, people are buying buying buying, and the sellers are selling for high.
Just saying but i was selling buds with ease for 17 keys and buying at 16 keys before it rose, to me it seems just an overdue update.
Buds dropped because of halloween, people dumped buds to get keys to uncrate for special effects, halloween is over and buds goes back up. Always happens
It happens every year...Buds dropped because of halloween, people dumped buds to get keys to uncrate for special effects, halloween is over and buds goes back up. Always happens and always will.
So basically buds will go down again for Smissmas so people get keys and uncrate strange festives.
Most likely, it happens every year.
Sold 6 for 19.5 each.
Adding some more proof for ya!
(Mabye some of them you have)
Offered/sold for 20:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812122
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15823591
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812122
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15816883
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15821999
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15185714
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15624672 - Sold for 21.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15821192 - Sold 25+ for 21. Also offered 19.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15811883 - Added, also offered 19.
http://bazaar.tf/trade/312195 - Added for 21.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14567112 - Added for 21.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15216131
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15813822
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810566
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14941907
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812122
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14892042 - 2 adds
Offered/sold for 19:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15817295
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15559434
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15823296
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13637603
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15398678
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809668
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809668
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15809696
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810096
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15813151
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15810619
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15822885
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15811395
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812393
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15813439
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15778793
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15803994 - So much adds at 19 keys + 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15821717 - 2 adds for 19 keys 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15815487
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14908272
Some of the 20 keys proof looks old... i think those are invalid
Tell me which.
Link 1, offer was made 3 days ago
Link 2
Link 3 is the same as link 1
Link 4, offer was made 3 days ago
Link 5, was not sold for 20 keys, was 19+ Squad surplus voucher/ ToD ticekt..,
Link 6 4 weeks ago :O
Link 7 sold 1 for 21 1 week ago, but now has sold all for 19
Link 8 is an old trade, 3 days ago. Plus he is actually selling for 20
Link 9 an 2 added comments, one is 20 keys and one is 19 keys
Link 10 is an old trade, added was said 4 days ago
Link 11 same, added was said 4 days ago
Link 12, added was said 4 days ago >_< too moch 4 days ago
Link 13 4 days ago (epic unluckiness xD 13 and 4)
Link 14 4 days ago and unbumped
Last 3 links, 3 days ago all said "added"
All old links, old proof.
A bit more proofs :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15852908 - Sold for 19 keys and 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15821999 - Sold for 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820963 - Sold 47 for 19 keys and 3 ref each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15644415 - Sellin' for 21 , many adds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15828111 - Selling for 20 keys , 1 add
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15851264 - Sold 1 at 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15871194 - Sold 1 at 19.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14648748 - BOT , sold many at 19.5 keys each
Still i think you should wait with the price because 20 keys solds are still from the hype (3-4 days) from looking at the proofs.
Anyway if this would be accepted i give it 3 days to the the 20 keys sales to be unsolds.
Staying neutral on this one.
This bot is currently buying Earbuds for 19 keys and selling them for 20 keys. http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561198083814472/
bots aren't a useable source of proof. sorry
i sold for 20 no problem
http://imgur.com/m4NcqLL
This is 2-3 days ago... not really valid
Why are people downvoting you? I've had my buds under 20 in the classifieds for teh last 3 days and I can hardly sell any. Even 19 keys and 2 refined isn't happening.
Everyone wants buds to rise. They had so heavily invested in them they caused a huge spike and now i am proving( IMO the truth) that buds are going down, they are gonna be angry. Notice how not all dislikers comment. I take that as encouragement though >:D, since they could only dislike
Just saying but most experienced unusual traders for their buds via unusuals in my case even if i sell them for around 15 keys each im still profiting xD
Also buds are still rising pretty fast, finance is already nearly 19 keys and it was around 18.8 yesterday, most of your counter proof supports the suggestion...again he is removing the 18 key from the range...young sellers at 19 keys and some solds at 20 doesnt really help...
Hardly any 20 keys solds.
I am,in my proof, demonstrating that 20 keys is an outlier, and that 19 keys can possibly be unsold. People close their trades and give up mostly for 20 keys, and some 19 keys are unsolds.
but he is telling you that your counter proof has to inculde more selling/sold at 18 keys instead of supporting the 19-20 range. Even if it takes longer to sell at 19 or 20 it is not hard and not many people are selling at 18 anymore...
I am not sure if i want 18 keys in the range, what i AM saying is i dun want 20 keys in the range. I want to make this a single value that is 19 keys.
I cant comment on yours any longer, but 20 keys is possible so it will, or should still be in the range. As you said on one of your other comments opinon "want' does not factor into a suggestion.
And... that brings us to the crux of this
Proof?
Cuz all the proof in the suggestion is old
I will just add these, it took awhile because my outpost keep breaking.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15888740 -20 keys 1 day ago (2 adds already)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15860485 -Selling for 25 (not gonna happen) Offered 20 (2 days ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15928088 - Selling at 20 (New Trade 1 hour)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15913140- Selling for 20 (15 hours 1 bookmark)
only the first link is legit and its still selling
It's 1 week, not 3 days.
Is 3 days if you want to change the price in 0.5 keys .
and I'm doing it
obviously this is a solid suggestion. Some people are getting mad, but who cares about those select people when this site reflects the majority. I upvote.
Did you even look at the proof? They are all so old and some are taken from previous suggestions.
If you taking 2 days +/- as old, mabye then.
Yep around 3 days each
he keeps adding more and more proof. It is not like he only took 3 day old prices, and if he did, they would better reflect his suggestion because he is raising the price.
EX: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15821999 -4 days ago but for 20 keys.
Dude... i might as well as take proof from suggestions when buds were 30 keys...
As quoted from you " they would better reflect his suggestion because he is raising the price".
See? Its unorthodox.
If you want a suggestion, it better reflect a NEW price not some proof from old suggestions days ago, except with old proof cut away.
I will just restate this. From a few days ago, keys were worth around 16-17? So if people were selling at 20 then obviously the price is outdated. So start up your counterproofs for people that are still selling at 18 still. I am currently browsing outpost pages but of course everyone wants 19-20 or some now want even more than that.
Erm... 20 keys was in the range already when this suggestion was made lel.
20 keys is still in the range. Like I said, start your counterproofs at 18, no one is selling at that anymore, so good luck.
Solds at 18
http://prntscr.com/26elc9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912285
http://prntscr.com/26em4t
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15902666
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15892514
More than 18, less than 19
http://prntscr.com/26embf
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15893759
http://prntscr.com/26en51
but these are all selling instantly.... proof that its a really easy sale
But its still a sale ;)
http://puu.sh/5qiZH.png
Sold one for a 12.5 key item and 8 keys within 30 minutes of putting the trade up. Item overpay makes this fall within the 19-20 range. I've been looking for a while and haven't seen a single 18 key trade since the start of the week. This gets my upvote.
I sold an unusual worth 19 keys for a bud, my proof.
Not much 19 keys sellers but a lot of 19.5-20 sellers, 19.5-20 would be better
There's one in the classified going for 19 already :P
Good proof
Upvote
Everyone wants dem buds to raise.
I believe they upvote without looking at much of the proofs
Here's what i HAD seen in the proof- old, 3-days trades, probably proofs from hype period)
What i see now, is a market abundant with 20 keys sellers, and practically not selling them. 19-19.5 keys also take time to sell, look at classifieds. 19 key still there, still selling, 19.5 also taking time.
I also provided counter proof above to suggest 20 keys be left out of the range.
If you are too lazy to find it here u go
Unsolds at 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15854295
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15868270
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15849828
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15841456 ( the bud in the trade appeared to be sold away, however, trade owner has multiple buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15840256
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15841001( the bud in the trade appeared to be sold away, however, trade owner has multiple buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15867795
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15840256
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15849968 (sold some tho)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15855919
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15845914
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15866149
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15865831
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15864987
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15865465
Unsolds at less than 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15866290
More counter proof
all are 20 keys except for those marked
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15850816 (19.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15871419
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15832662
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15871287
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15844034
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15862009
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15855919
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15867795
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15850820
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15872216
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873170
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15853417
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15858937
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15827634 (offer of 19.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15820991
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873875
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873850
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15874615 ( lvl 42, new, but let's see if it will get sold)
Just saying quite alot of your unsolds have actually sold if you checked the history.
Also this isnt counterproof he is raising the lower end by a key you need to find sellers for 19 keys or that 19 keys goes slowly
Which are sold?
Showing that people are selling for 19.5-20 does not help you. Start at 18s that weren't posted days ago.
http://prntscr.com/26elc9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912285
http://prntscr.com/26em4t
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15902666
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15892514
More than 18, less than 19
http://prntscr.com/26embf
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15893759
http://prntscr.com/26en51
Sold plenty for 21 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15849753
http://bazaar.tf/trade/548859 y no one buy mine D:
Because very few people use that terrible site. X3
Explain how it's terrible :P
(yes, it was pretty bad in the beginning, but new features like buy now make the site sweet :D)
k, im done advertising
It's more like so many people don't like or know about bazaar as all people use proofs 90% of the time from outpost. Bazaar does have some nice features I wish outpost had at times but it is what it is.
k, sold it in less than a day :P
upvote
Why hasn't this been accepted yet?
http://tf2finance.com/ 1 Earbuds = 18.86 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15848537 - Sold 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15853966 - Sold 2 at 21 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15875354 - Sold 2 at 20 keys each
" http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15848537 - Sold 22 keys"
not sold, he just closed his trade, it's still in his bp
I Agree with this Price Change , why isnt it accepted yet D:
opinions don't matter in suggestion
proof does, and in one of your posts "(IMO the truth)" so it seems you are also using your opinion.....
At least i gave proof.
but at least. It doesn't really matter as your proof isn't declaring the range not usable. EVERYONE wants 20 keys + for their buds.
18 definitely isn't possible anymore - upvote.
http://tf2finance.com/- buds apparently going downhill...
I actually noticed that earlier today, thought maybe it would rise but seems at a solid 19 keys. Maybe a counter suggestion of 19 keys flat would be more favorable.
How is it going down hill? :O
It was at 18 keys before now it's nearly 18.9
It's more that it is surprising that finance is at around 19 flat rather than 19.5 as that would be the median of this suggested price. Either sales are occurring below 19 or not too many sales are at 20 keys recently.
Think they take into account all sales including quicksales as well? (not sure if they take into account unusuals)
I believe finance only keeps track of pure currency transactions, although it could do unusuals quick sells but seems unlikely. Regardless this seems like the hype train came to a stop earlier than anticipated and has stabilized since then. Either that or finance keeps track of all bud transactions, maybe a mod will have more information on the matter
No idea, it really wasnt a hype train tbh buds were kinda overdue for an update since a few weeks ago just some reason people kept selling at 16 keys. It dropped only because of halloween people dump buds for keys to uncrate.
I was selling for around 17 keys pretty easily since last 2 weeks ago (might have been earlier? idk i wasnt flipping buds then) and buying for 16 keys. I reckon it probs hit 20 flat and slow down, then drop around christmas.
I agree saw people selling comfortably at 17 keys on servers time and again. Just think the spike was people trying to inflate the price after they saw it rose, buds going up so fast was unprecedented. Though we can expect them to drop during Christmas for all those festive goodies heh. Maybe a festive shotgun?
Fairly certain tf2finance only takes into account pure trades. I believe it takes into account outliers, but does so on both sides and to a limited extent (only within a few keys on either side, so straight up sharks wouldn't be included).
Take this with a grain of salt, relying on memory here and I'm not affiliated with tf2finance in any way.
Looks like going back up again.
Upvote
it raises my bp valuegood proof!I'm fairly confident that if there was no 3-day cooldown, the price would be at 22 ore more already. Cooldown is then a good thing. Anyway upvote from here.
Hurray for opinions! As long as they match mine....
Agreed great evidence
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15845172 - Sold 2 at 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15827839 - Sold 1 at 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15856244 - Sold 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15818068 - Sold for 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15854295 - Sold for 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15824458 - Sold 4 at 19 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15857853 - Sold at 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15916747 - Sold 1 at 19
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15906995 - Sold for 19 keys + 1 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15906660 - Sold 1 at 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15906376 - Sold for 19 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15902142 - Sold for 20
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15900850 - Sold for 19 keys and 3.00
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15803994 - 19 keys + 4.00 , sold many
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15888740 - Sold 2 for 20 keys each
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15920461 - 19 keys each , sold 6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15910649 - 19 keys each , sold 3
I sold 2 @ 20 keys, my last bud is on reserve for 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15841001
This is pathetic.. this should have been accepted ages ago.
I think the problem is that 18 has to be disproven, and all the OP did was prove that 19 and 20 were in the range. We already know that 19 and 20 are in the range.
Personally, I had not voted until now because I didnt know if 18 was still possible. I just got some buds for 18 now, but considering how long it took, it's probably not in the range.
The idea about a suggestion is to prove that range is currently in action.
What i see in this suggestion is plenty'o'19's,20's - but no 18's counter proof.
And if they are, they are quicksells.
Find as much proof for 18 as there are for 19 and 20 - then your thesis might have some weight.
Well, what I meant is that people trying and failing to buy at 18 would be what this suggestion should be doing. Everyone knows that 19 and 20 are in the range, it's not up for debate (at least not here. If you think it's up for debate, then you should be on the other suggestion). All the proof in that range is completely irrelevant.
I agree that 18 keys isn't in the range though, but I know this through personal expirience. This suggestion has failed to disprove it, which was pretty much it's only job.
You're disproving the suggested range with nothing at this point.
But... I agree with the range. I was responding to why the suggestion hasn't been passed yet, and the answer is that it fails to actually prove what it needs to.
I only agree with it because I spent time on servers watching people failing to buy at 18 keys and because I tried to buy for 18 keys on OP for 3 days before I got a pair of buds. The suggestion itself fails horribly at proving that 18 is not in the range. I'd imagine that the mods were waiting for proof of that to be shown before they accepted it.
Now it's not being accepted because there's a counter-suggestion.
Classifieds are filled with buds for 19 keys...
http://i.imgur.com/I8S6g8l.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15927925
my trade. was selling for 20,at the end got an offer of 19 + a can of tinge (21.2~),which i took obviously
I see buds as more of a currency rather than an actual thing people want. Who would give their extremely rare UNUSUAL or AUSTRALIUM WEAPON for just one of these? There once was a time where 3 buds could get you an unusual, but what happened to those times? What next, the Vintage Fan o'War will be dropped to 1 bud?!
Just saying, the longer an admin takes to accept/close the suggestion, the more people start to sell for the previous price.
It'd be nice if a decision was made quicker...
Agreed. They are most likely discussing the matter, but they should at least tell us what's wrong or concerns about the suggestion as well.
The quicker the decision, the more aggressive the hype.
I predict the price will actually drop in a day or so.
This is a tricky suggestion; buds have fluctuated wildly in the last few days, and this is one of those cases where leaving a suggestion up for so long affected its accuracy. After reviewing the proof and counterproof, the mods have concluded that this range is not any more accurate than the current one.
18 is definitely a quicksell, but 20 takes a noticeable effort to sell. The counterproof shows lots of 20s taking days to sell, and several that remain unsold after as many as 5 days. 18 and 20 seem to match each other for sales--buyers at 18 can buy them eventually, and sellers for 20 can sell them eventually, but neither is as easy as 19. Including both outliers is much less ambiguous than only excluding quicksells but not slow sells.
19 flat may be a valid suggestion in the near future, but the previous suggestion for that had insufficient proof to be accepted. The same is true of the 19–19.5 keys suggestion opened shortly afterward. At times like these the mods are very wary of accepting suggestions too quickly and causing a feedback loop, and it looks like the current price is plenty representative of the market.