Suggestion: It's a Secret to Everybody Larrikin Robin at 132.63–154.74 keys

Price Suggestion

~143.68 keys

secret

37 votes up

28 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Fri, 22 Nov 13 15:14:08 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

only 1 in market, other owners don't trade anymore.

last 3 sells:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14584564 / burning beret + 3 pure (8-8.5 in mixed)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561197968751687,3 / http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15022679 aparently sold plus a burning ze goggles for stormy veil and GBH master belt (11), the goggles where 4.5 at the time making the larrikin 7.5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15214571 / then sold to me for my DBD masters yellow belt.

My trades/offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15315660 Twatt samur eye and sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15481507 Misty lid and sumershades

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15812489 timewrap juju

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15662979 Twatt brim full of bullets / vivid tossle + s.f. grenade + s.f.huntsman

People are willing to pay more than 6 buds, iv had many private offers (i got no proof so i can't mention them) for 7 and even 8 in unusuals.

thanks to blind for the suggestion of the price, but read closely before closing next time sold PLUS a burning ze goggles FOR stormy veil AND GBH master belt

Oh, I see what you meant about the 11 now. But that's still likely too high given that b/o on that belt at 5 that was unmet for 2 months. stormy veil + belt is unlikely more than 9. But that sale is likely an outlier anyways.

Range seems reasonable here, especially given multiple offers close to 6 and that juju at ~6.4

Man, that was 4 months ago! people sold the harvest larrikin for 2 buds when it first was unboxed now its more than 10! thats people who have no patience and wants to get ridd of thier sutff quickly http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15596793 this guy is selling the veil and mesters with a b/o of 11 for both. Plus you closed the suggestion before i could even reply to you and defend my price. (idk if it was really you who closed it but still i could have defended my price)

"get rid of their stuff quickly" - he had it on the market for 2 months. anyways, it's not valid to use unpriced hats to price other hats. that's why i was saying that sale was not valid to use.

just wanna ask where does the price come from since burning berret is like 5( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14935845 owner rejected 5 pure) -I m sorry about original values Bear but 5 months is 5 months and therefore 2old +3=8 (ofc if beret was clean, not mentioned here)

second sale is 7.5 ( not sure of this fact but anyway let it be 6,5-7 at least).

dbd belt is 6-7 original price, just want to ask whether you offered so that would make it 6.5.

In conclusion you should maybe mention some private offers that are higher than this range (I believe there is way they can be confirmed) and then resuggesting either

at 6.5-8

or leaving beret+3 pure as an outlier if there are no offers close to it and suggesting 6-6.5.

anyway staying neutral

Thats the only burning beret lvl 81 so that proves it hasn't been duped, DBD belt was sold rather quick, I really liked the larrikin so i accepted the 1:1 trade. Yes i did offer the masters for it. I can't prove that the private offers were true as i lost the screenshots i had from most of them (had to change my pc) so i could just be making them up. There was only 1 offer for 8 and you need overprice in unusuals. I believe you must do 8*0.9 = 7.2 buds, that goes pretty close to the range im looking for and maybe the guy REALLY wanted the unusual.

you dont have to take overpay from pure part therefore you would just take the low end of beret that would be probably 5 pure as it is unaccepted pure offer. anyway I agree it s an outlier and with no private offers I m going to upvote

We can only go by the prices listed on this site. If you feel the price is inaccurate, you can make a suggestion for that and then price this. Also, there wasn't a single offer higher than 6.4 on any trade besides that beret offer. I suspect you are right that the beret is closer to 5 and that he overpaid. But based on what we have available, the proof is technically supporting 6-7.

actually suggestors should go by prices on this site but if prices are old (5 months) and non accurate I believe it s not a problem to use price of highest offer on hat instead of hat (and this offer is even pure and also twice) so therefore I dont see anything wrong about setting beret at 5 buds (and as it is non accepted pure offer 5 also with overpaying) . but anyway it would be an outlier since there isnt anything else supporting 8

My arbitrary cutoff is 6 months since last suggestion and 3 months on a sale as proof in a suggestion. But yes, there is validity to your comment. The issue is that without a formal suggestion, you can't assess whether the 5 pure offer on the beret is an outlier itself. At the very least a mini-suggestion would need to be done to use that as proof.