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Overpay/Original prices used. Eating out of this hat has to be annoying.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15640987 - Sold for Stormy Kabuto (back when it was worth 2.7)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14834741 - Sold for Electro Static Swagman's (3.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15204661 - Sold for a Blizzardy Wraith Wrap (3.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14664969 - Sold for Peace Sign Flamenco (1.6)
Flamenco is quite a bit lower, outlier. Keeping it out. Yep.
Why do you count buto as 2.7 buds?
http://backpack.tf/stats/152/5/29
Because the sale happened a while ago, so I was using the price from that time, not currently.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/4350-another-new-rule-regarding-unusual-suggestions-use-original-suggested-values/
Kabuto sale is ~2.15.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14834741 - Sold for Electro Static Swagman's (3.2) - traded with a freshly scammed item, should not really count
Very outdated price on the wraith but last price was 3.3 buds.
So we have a sale at 1.6 buds, 2.15 buds and 3.3 buds. And the scammed one at 3.15 buds.
Edit: So your range doesn't really makes sense, you should find more sales to see which ones are the outliers.~