--Arcana Chieftain's Challenge--

1 of 1, and unless there's one in a private bp it's gonna stay that way for at least a year.

ORIGINAL prices used, correctly this time overpay calculated where applicable.

Third suggestion for it, redone firstly with help concerning original prices from Pink Cloud of Death. (thanks very much ^^) Then redone again because I mega-derped.

Link to first suggestion: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/528dfac54cd7b85f1b8b4568

Link to second suggestion: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/528f6c404cd7b8c72d8b4569

Any extra stuff I have to add on after editing is disabled will be posted below with ADD-ON

First sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/209982 (scroll down to see the trades with it) Sold for at least a HH, check the history (it's the trade above the Chief.)

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198008312456?time=1384070400 Sort by time, there was a bud gotten at around the same time as it.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2073459352 This bud's history. It was received via a bot, which leads me to believe he received the amount of keys necessary to equal a bud.

Therefore, this makes it 2.35 + 1 = 3.35 buds.

This is a quicksell, as you'll see below. Please note that it doesn't matter if you think the pricing for this sale is a bit dodgy (I think so too) as this is a quicksell. Refer to sales 3 and 4.

Second sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15603038 Sold for Darkblaze Das Naggenvatcher + 1 bud.

No cigar, as there is no price set for the Das yet.

Third sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15660552 Sold along with 2 buds for an Anti-Freeze Head Warmer.

Simple maths. Since the Chief was offered on the Warmer:

Chief + 2 = ORIGINAL Head Warmer median

Chief = 8.7 - 2

Chief = ~6.7 buds (after rounding)

Fourth sale

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15666411 Sold for Kill-A-Watt Solly's Scopes, Stormy Attendant and Planets Noir.

Overpay applied to those hats as they were offered on the Chief.

0.9(All the ORIGINAL medians of those hats) = Chief

0.9(4 + 1.95 + 0.95) = Chief

0.9*6.9=Chief

Chief = ~6.2 buds (after rounding)

Current trade

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15670179 No offers worth noting

So, in conclusion, I'm deeming 3.35 buds as an outlier because quicksell wtf. Therefore, the range is 6.2-6.7 buds from the other two sales.

That will be all.

Any help/comments/other stuff is always appreciated!

~Swate