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November 23, 2013
1:1 with P energy Stove pipe (3.5). http://backpack.tf/id/surrendr <--> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029059723
http://i.imgur.com/kQGoZhM.png
Novenber 17, 2013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15771979 - sold for a searing private eye and strange huntsman (~2.8)
November 17, 2013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15554058 - Sold for Eerie orbit + 5. As stated a in the trade (~3.3)
September 29, 2013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14702701 - Seems like 1:1 with C9 Bolted bricorne (no price)
September 14, 2013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14389619 - Sold for Misty Skull handle (~3.4)
September 7, 2013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14129342 - Seem like sold 1:1 with Hearts Stunt man. (2.3 * 0.9 =2.07) <-- Outlier? Sweets i can't find?
August 17, 2013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13613615 - Sold for Ghost company (7.2) (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13693441)
Seeing as the Glove and raincatcher were offered on the Company Overpay: 8.1*0.9 = 7.29 (Glove 5*0.9 = 4.5 and Raincather 3.1*0.9 = 2.8)
If there are any other sales that Disprove this, please say so.
Criticisms is good
Doesn't look like you've been using original prices on this one.
P Energy Stove would be 3.2.
Misty Handle would be 2.7.
Plasma + Huntsman would be 2.4.
The company trade would place it at 2, if I didn't screw up my math on that one.
The private eye has never been properly priced and shouldn't be used.
Having another mod look at my numbers here in case I made any errors.
Alrighty.
Sale 1: Can't tell who did the offering. In these situations, we assume overpay should be applied. Original price on stove pipe was 3.2-4. At 0.9 * mid (3.6), that sale is ~3.3.
Sale 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15510703 - MN raincatcher + TOD ticket offered for searing PE + huntsman - no overpay since offered; based on item and bud values at the time, that sale would be ~2.6
Sale 3: Sale was actually MN + 5 keys (not EOF + 5 keys); it was offered, so no overpay, but EOF PE has never had a suggestion
Sale 4: C9 bicorne has no price either
Sale 5: Misty Handle would be 2.7 after overpay; the guy himself was selling for under 3 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14671403 - definitely shouldn't be valued at 3.4.
Sale 6: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14129342 - if sweets were added, minor sweets were added - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198023482712?time=1378623600 - that would ~2.2 after overpay
Sale 7: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13693441 - ghosts company man was set at 6.3. No overpay since offered. That sale would come out to ~2. Probably an outlier.
Some more relevant bits here:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15873167 - b/o 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15904526 - b/o 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15756196 - b/o 3
So the sales we have are at 2, 2.2, 2.6, 2.7, 3.3. I would argue that given all the b/o's at 3, 3.3 would be too high and as much of an outlier as the sale at 2. A range of 2.2-2.7 would seem most reasonable.
For reference, please have a look here at some relevant rules before your next suggestion: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/4350-new-rule-use-original-suggested-values-of-unusuals/