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Resubmitting showing two successful sales and pricing of offers adjusted, and an altered range. Taking the convention of 0.9 x for unusual overpay.
First trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13481662 -b/o of 50, only considering things over 40
notable offers-
-demonflame brown bomber-unpriced by backpack.tf-one was offered $1100 paypal+s.f.knife, around 35 buds at that point-http://puu.sh/5mkLU.png -factoring overpay this is 35 x 0.9=31.5
-miami nights BoA if he adds-priced at 39.4 by backpack.tf=39.4 x 0.9=35.6, but we dunno how much he has to add. [offered demonflame brown bomber+150 Ref + 10 Keys by apex venom http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15759252 so around 35-36]
Second Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15846219 -b/o of 40 pure, 45 in unusuals.
notable offers-
terror watt TC+1- priced at 26.1 buds so the offer is 27. 27 x 0.9= 24.3
third trade-http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15768849
notable offers-
-Harvest moon ballcap + beams nappers + smoking stovepipe + 20 keys-16.5+8+1+1=26
26 x 0.9=23.4
4th trade-http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15743771
-notable offers
-hellfire virtual viewfinder-unpriced by backpack.tf-apparently originally bought for 45 buds in stuff, now selling for 30-40
-20 pure, but it's a massive lowball
I got mine for a cheap price of around 26-30, it included a moon trophy (10-11), ghosts tyro (6-7), burning engie cap (3-4), gifted terror watt slope scopers (2), and about 5-6 buds in items but, I believe the seller was interested in my hats, as he wanted to split up for ease of selling, so factoring in overpay the over way round, 26 x 1.1=30.8, 30 x 1.1=33 just in case he wasn't and I got lucky, 26 x 0.9=23.4, 30 x 0.9=27
It seems cereal chan http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198063428861 sold it to apex_venom for the demonflame bomber, I am unsure if anything was added but I see nothing notable in his bp so I will assume not.
As stated earlier, this is around 34-35, see the offer of $1100+s.f.knife
so, 34 x 0.9=30.6
So, a final range of 23.4-30.6 seems fair to me.
Let me know what you think.
Thanks for the suggestion, but all suggestions establish a range require 2 defined sales to establish a range.
We can't set prices based on unpriced or outdated hats.
With regards to your sale -- moon belt is a 9 months old price and not valid to use as proof in a suggestion (it would have been 9-10). Ghosts tyro is 4.4-5.6. Engi Cap is 3.6-4.5, Gifted Slopers also really shouldn't be used but maybe it's 2, and you have not provided us with proof on the items involved. Even if we took that sale at face value, it would be ~23 after overpay. But it's problematic to use because a lot of the values of the hats there are uncertain.
You can't use the demonflame bomber as proof since that is still unpriced.
If you want to use the two sales you have provided, you will need to show a screenshot of your trade showing the exact items involved and you will have to price, at the very least, the moon trophy belt. And then you will have to price the demonflame bomber.
A better bet for you to make a suggestion would be to find some other previous sales. I'll give you a few minutes to close this
EDIT: Okay, here are some sales---
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15433145 - duped sulph tc; suggested up for it putting that sale at ~30 after overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15137464 - willing to take ~27
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15063933 - added ~2? for these two ~22 - offered so no overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14826325 - b/o 27, sold for duped secret bomber+2 buds? ~22?
Most sales seem to be around 22-23