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~2 keys
Unique Ball-Kicking Boots
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20 votes down
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To start us off, this is a 4 month old price and it needs an update. Following my pretty much only uncraftable price suggestions, I recommend this price be dropped. Putting aside the multitude of painted uncraftable ball-kicking boots, if one looks at the ones being sold, the price must drop


Proof:

Data:

Selling or Sold for 3 ref or 3.33 ref or 3.66 ref:

http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=9906747 - selling and sold for 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15897206 - sold for 3 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15903762 - sold for 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15917875 - sold for 3 ref (its painted also)

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200275e4bd7b8e369000007 - selling for 3.66 ref

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/520058c04bd7b80c3e000023 - selling for 3.33 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15930896 - sold for around 3.66 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15836936 - selling for 3.66 ref


Unsold at for higher than 3.66 ref:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15870827 - unsold at 4 ref for around 3 days already

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15915740 - unsold at 3.88 ref for around 1 day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15915793 - unsold for 4 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15893586 - unsold for 4 ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15598331 - unsold for 4 ref for 2 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15900298 - unsold for 3.77 ref


Analysis:

Of all the unpainted ball kicking boots on the market, pretty much all of the evidence suggest a drop in price. 9/15 or 60% are selling or sold for 3-3.66 ref range and the other 6/15 or 40% that are unpainted are unsold at higher than 3.66 ref. When the data this staggeringly supports a drop in the price, it should drop.


Summary:

Just to sum it all up in case you just skipped past the previous writings, since there are so many selling or sold at the price range 3-3.66 ref (60%) and so many unsold at higher than 3.66 ref (40%), the data supports a drop to 3-3.66 ref and that is why I suggested the drop.

    Sold mine not too long ago for 4 ref. If my trade history was working I'd show you a screenshot.

      that would still only be 1/16 sold for 4 ref or 6.25% of the total sold for 4 ref while it would make sold or selling for 3-3.66 ref still very high at 56.25%

      and unsolds higher than 3.66 ref at 37.5% which still supports this price range

      4 refined is still possible, would be nice if you fixed the range to 3.66-4

      the range should be 3.66-4

      downvote

        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15893586 - unsold for 4 ref

        this link you posted is mine, i sold it for 4 ref in ~ 1 day.

          Both sales at 3 flat were instasells. That shouldn't be in the range. As a general rule, for a value to be in the range, there should be at least 1 or 2 on the market available at any given time at that value. I don't see any at 3 or 3.33, probably because they are quicksells. The proof you provide seems to support that.