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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15220409 sold for 5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15540771 sold for 4 buds, #33 Tossle-Proof Towel (~9 keys on bp.tf), and #33 Huo-Long Heater (~4.5 keys on bp.tf) roughly ~4.5 buds total*
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14121521 - recent offers:
• Blizzardy Hottie's Hoodie, 2 buds and 10 keys (~4 buds)
• Orbiting Fire Hallmark and 2 buds (~3.7 buds)
• Circling Hearts Dapper Topper (~3.5 buds)
Conclusion: sale at ~4.5 buds, sale at 5 buds, and lowest buyout is 4.4 buds currently.
*taking off slight values from craft numbers when calculating final value since they are normally overpriced.
How about B/O ~4.4 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14121521 ?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14415527 Scorching Tree (~5.5-5.9-old pr.-no overpay~5.7) for PE Crown+ Peace Tyrant(~2.2-2.6)~ 3.4-not quite correct (multi sale)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15045348 sold for~Blizzardy Samur-Eye (~1.5-1.7)+2 buds~3.5
here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15220409 not sure -offer~4.5 I see , sold for 5?-I know this guy, I can ask him tomorrow
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14121521 do duped hats count?
not count --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14121521 yes duped .
1) The buyout of 4.4 buds is my third link in the proof.
2) As you already mentioned, it was used as overpay on another trade and was traded with another unusual. More than likely its the tree that is outdated, not the value of the crown in the trade.
3) The trader took the first offer on his trade without allowing for other bids. He most likely valued the Samur-Eye higher due to level and extremely clean history. He had bought it for 4 buds and possible unknown sweets looking at the history:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14964271 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15045344
4) Bebina did pay 5 buds and offered it on this trade, too: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15353573
Also an offer not mention was on Shadow's trade (my link 2): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15540771 of a Strange Festive Scattergun, Vivid Bombing Run and keys (4+ buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15220409 yes 5 buds
Here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15540771 sold for 4 buds+ #33 Tossle-Proof Towe+#33 Huo-Long Heater ? --> If it true( you write ^^" sold for 4 buds, #33 Tossle-Proof Towel" ) 4.4 B/O -for duped hat not count 4.5-5 possible small difference in comparison with 4,4-5 --> So I agree
Thank you for the support :)
Shadow confirmed that it sold for 4 buds+ #33 Tossle-Proof Towe+#33 Huo-Long Heater. He also said he resold the craft numbers for 10 keys together: http://i.imgur.com/jfOIB4z.png
No problem
UP+
The one with a b/o of 4.4 is duped anyways. Probably why bebina paid 5 while that was on the market.