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Proof below. 4 month-old price.
This is actually an increase from original suggested value of 8-10.
Cleans only, correct me if I'm wrong.
Sales:
-brigade+blizz head warmer, bought burning head warmer (13.25): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15252836
-9 buds, no overpay as offered
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15769325 + http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15138119
-sold/bought tw robo glove (unpriced)+ge swagman+hearts trilby for his scorching brigade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15912900
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15596646
-'quickselling' for 9 buds
-brigade+1 bud sold for clean houwar
-buyer's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198047941920?time=1384070400
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198047941920?time=1384156800
-9 buds, not counting overpay on clean houwar
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15569893
-brigade+beams mullet+ghosts sam bought terror watt cone (unpriced): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15572517
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15698095
-b/o of 15 buds
-bought burning lid: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15568645
-9.7 buds, no overpay as offered
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14942381
-sold for duped burning noble (clean was 9.25 without overpay)+2 buds+2 keys
-seller's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197998127300?time=1382166000
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197998127300?time=1382252400 (don't knew where buds were)
-~9.5 buds, considering duped as 1 bud less like the seller
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15896561
-b/o of 13 buds
-brigade+duped 13th hour fro (3.3) bought (duped) v. community luger (seller doesn't seem to have added anything)
-luger: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15798879
-seller's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198016049778?time=1385107200
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198016049778?time=1385193600
-duped sparkle lugers are ~12 according to polar
-~8.7 buds, but the luger isn't great to base the low end off. regardless this is still ~9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14489444
-wanted 10 buds
-sold for 7 buds+beams cone (2.2 outdated)
-~9.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13913099
-old
-sold for beams attendant (newer suggestion probably more accurate than old one, 10-11 before overpay)+#55 breather bag+45 whiskered gentlemen=10 buds
-seller's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050247262?time=1378018800
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050247262?time=1378105200
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15959726
-notable offers:
ghosts modest=9.4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15206735
-b/o of 14 buds, more than a month
-notable offers:
burning birdcage (never properly priced)+1 bud=10.8, can't use this
duped scorching front runner (year old price)+2 buds=10-11?, can't use this
ghosts modest (offered above)=9.4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15715615
-wants 13-14 buds
-notable offers:
beams aa+hearts fuka (outdated)=9.7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15917774
-wants 12 buds
-notable offers:
ghosts modest (offered above)=9.7
clean lantern stahl+nnb dappers+headcase=10.7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14787346
-wants 11 buds, almost 2 months
-notable offers:
burning birdcage (never priced)+2.5 buds=12.3, bud above what he has wanted for 2 months, obvious outlier
disco chapeau=9.5
duped burning phantom+sf sticky=around 10 buds or less
sulph flamenco+15 keys=10.3
harvest marauder=9
blizz crone+2 buds=9.2
duped burning noble (same one as above sale)+vivid snaggle=9.1
ge pyromancer+gbh firewall=10
duped scorching front runner (year old price)+3 buds=11-12?
c9 bubble+p. fetti glengarry (not purple fetti)=9.2
a.f. brigade+g. fetti lucha (outdated) if seller adds planets kabuto (1.2 outdated)=9.2
aces gibus if seller adds 0.5=10.3
misty chapeau=9.2
eerie tower+ghosts noble=9.4
ghosts bubble+5 buds=10.4
cloudy merry (outdated)+1.5=9.4
Sales: 8.7, 9, 9, 9.2, 9.5, 9.7, 10
Going with a nice simple range here of 9-10, most offers are between this range as I have proved above. The 2 offers at ~11 are all involving hats with outdated prices, don't think they're usable but definitely shouldn't be included in the range. Unusual overpay and original prices used when necessary.