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~285 keys
anti-freeze
Unusual Crocleather Slouch Anti-Freeze
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Anti-Freeze Crocleather Slouch


1/3 and unpriced.


Tracking the history of all three.


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Level 64 ID: 1648923199


No idea what the unboxer sold it for. Combed through his outpost trades as well as his backpack history and saw no clear evidence of the sale.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14746622


Second owner sold it to the current for 70 keys + 15 (keys? dollars?) in paypal.

At the time that was 5 Buds. IMO an overpay considering other sales, but nonetheless, what it sold for.


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Level 66 ID: 1665102434


Unboxer seems to have sold it and a planets brigade for a gifted terrorwatt Little buddy and gifted terrorwatt full metal drills.... Wat

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14168491 Check item histories. Don't even know how to price these.


Second owner seems to have sold his with a stormy front runner. Can't find any evidence of what he sold them for.


Best guess for the 3rd owner is that it was sold for a kill a watt fruit shoot and ghosts coupe.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15338622 Check item histories on the two. Valuing this at 2.66 Buds, not sure if anything else was included.


Current owner bought it for a Haunted Ghosts marauder and 13 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15346242


3 Weeks ago buds were ~17 Keys. Valuing the marauder at about 3, I'd mark this 3.66-4.


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Level 17 ID: 1698596723


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11465010


Unboxer sold it for 3.5 pure, but offered a burning Sola + 20 Keys which is ~4 buds.


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Some other stuff:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12841717

Current owner of the Level 17 claims to have been offered 4 Buds/90 Keys. No proof, but offers range from 3-4 in unusuals.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15698044

Current level 64 Owner

Buyout is 90 Keys = ~4.5 Buds.

Offered PE Slouch + 1 Bud (~4 Buds)

Only notable offer.


Current level 66 Owner put it up briefly but took it down before a decent amount of offers came.


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This is hard to price. There have been some very low sales but most are in the past. I went with this range because of the price the three current owners paid.


One bought it for 3.5

One bought it for 3.6-4 mixed

One bought it for 5


5 seems like kind of an outlier from a desperate buyer who has set his buyout at 4.5 in current pricing.


I also believe the price leans under 4 because of the amount of past sales/offers that are in that 3-4 range. No other notable offers have surpassed the 4 bud mark besides the one semi-outlier at 5.


Please feel free to correct me in the comments if you disagree. I must admit I had a lot of trouble figuring out a range, so I have no issue taking some constructive criticism.


Thanks!


    seems to me you've done some solid work here, and the proof looks good. upvote.

      This looks solid. I'm just wondering how you know 13 keys were added to the ghosts marauder - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198046266466?time=1378537200


      I'm seeing keys, but history isn't tracked on them.