Price Suggestion
~57.22 ref
Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
1151 votes up
752 votes down
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Comments

Are you freaking kidding me? 3 terrible suggestions in a row? Is it really that hard to find competent proof? Fine...I'll do the dirty work NOT copy and pasted.


TF2Finance http://tf2finance.com/keys/ - 6.28, closer to 6.33


Proof is under the duration of 12 hours


6.11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16051489

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057124

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062885

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16058964

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062010

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16061103


6.22

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062480

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16063690

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16063207

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062987

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062241

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062091

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16061137

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16060815

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16060802

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16060794

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16060425

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059695

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059616

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059552

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059203

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059178

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059157

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059114

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16058443

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16058118

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057818

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057721

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057490

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16056907

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16056106

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053669

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053587

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053385

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053331

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16052493

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16052148

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16051877

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050515

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050327

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050014

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16049745


6.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16049937

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16049656

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16049589

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16049529

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050408

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050200

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050181

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050168

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050099

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16050091

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16051873

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16052121

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16052104

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053623

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053930

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16051289

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16052844

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16052602

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16052514

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053763

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16053730

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057322

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16056570

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057711

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057595

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057083

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16058413

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16058028

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057972

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057885

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16058307

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059033

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059519

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16059591

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16060520

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16060863

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16061451

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16061408

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16061390

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062040

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062234

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062444

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062399

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16063184

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16063037

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16064402

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16063901

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16063819


Data Chart

6.11 - 6

6.22 - 36

6.33 - 48


6.33 now is the most commonly traded price, but not too far off from 6.22


I will get buyers when I have the time.


Also there will always be successful buyers below 6.22. But it may come to a surprise to you guys that those guys are called "quickbuyers", a.k.a. not even helpful counter proof. Believe it or not, the rule applies to key suggestions. What WOULD help countering this suggestions is unsolds below 6.22.


Feel free to counter / support my proof. Vote based on proof presented, not blindly.

Dem previous scores. Anyways, proof seems sold enough. Upvote from me for now.

      Tell it to the buyers J-Dog, buyers are buying for 6.33


      Many sellers will always sell at high price, if they find no buyers for it then they would be forced to sell at the market price or around market price if there is range involved.

      http://backpack.tf/stats/5021/6/0

      Look at all them 6.22 listings...

        And all of them are offline, not responding to friend requests, or sold.

          do you see many 6.33 listings? i see none. I buy in game easily for 6.22, no proof but i could bloody get some by screenshoting trade history, making an imgur account and uploading them but it really isnt worth my time. I am saying it is too soon for 6.33 to be in the range as not many people buy them at 6.33 when there are so many sellers for 6.22.

            And guess what? 6.22 is in the range. And please show me the said sellers instead of taking your word for granted.

              imgur allows uploading without an account. It also allows you to sign in via google, facebook, twitter, or yahoo.

                BOUGHT KEYS FOR PURE: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15894139 7 views, 3 adds with multiples so i had to close it pretty much instantly.

                BOUGHT WITH TOD (2 for 1 key): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15871360

                The numbers used are accurate, only accepted pure and about 50% were paying in keys (didnt bother screenshotting these as they were paid in items)

                Some photos for non believers, all in the last 7 days: http://imgur.com/ilAtMxd

                Are you happy now? and #KoDoRiN i am saying it is too soon for 6.33 and saying current range is fine. -__-

                # Dislikes because i defended my opinion

                As a side note i stayed neutral when voting...

                  And guess what? That is categorized as "quickbuyers", easily knowing that you can easily make profit for 6.33, once again not even helpful counterproof. If you really don't want 6.33 in the range, show me unsolds. Also, I have never heard of anyone ever bombarded with request when I know friends that has trouble buying at 6.33 so you're probably an outlier. I will provide 6.22 and 6.33 buyers just you wait.

                    I dont try to resell my keys i actually use them to unbox, people who do that are the reason keys keep rising, But nevermind that. Call me an outlier then, discard my proof as quickbuys, i cant do anything about that. I knew it wasnt worth my time making a fucking page of proof.

                      >page

                      >2 links

                      >my suggestion has over 100 links


                      I never said that you were intending to sell it for 6.33, BUT you have the knowledge that you can easily sell it for 6.33. I'm being generous to even include 6.22 in the range.

            I tried to buy for 6.22 ref, no success, I ended buying keys for 6.33 ref from some sellers, all we know that 6.22 ref is almost imposible and 6.33 gone fast. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15964587

              Buyers be buying at 6.33? Well, I guess I can't copy and paste this time. :/

              As much as I'd like to see 6.44 happening, I doubt it'll be necessary for this range. You have my upvote once again.

              Oh wait, there is something I can copy and paste.


              Feel free to give me 9001 dislikes for agreeing to a raise of the key prices.

                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16067123 - Buyer for 6,33

                http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16068127 - Sold for 6,33 in 1 minute!


                Yup. 6,33 is possible. And 6,22 goes really quick .. Upvoting.~ Sadly keys are going UP and UP. :/

                    Then why is 6.22 going relatively quickly compared to last week even before this price suggestion was made?

                      Bacause it's currency of tf2, it will always sell fast at its price...

                        Do no matter what price I list my keys at, they will sell quickly? I beg to differ.

                      Actually, there's a new suggestion every week because people are buying keys for more than the current price.


                      Also, nice grammar. +rep

                        If Backpack was leading the market rather than following it, so much proof would not be able to be collected. This suggestions gives many links to people buying and selling keys for 6.33 to provide proof to raise their suggested value, hence following the market's trends, not leading them.

                      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16073334 Sold all 3 of them without a chance to even bump the trade once at 6.33

                        Not enough proof for 6.33

                          And? If I added more proof, it would still be the same ratio of 6.22 and 6.33 so it would be almost pointless to add more proof other than having people check more links and more scrolling time.

                          Maybe 40 or so more links and the proof is valid

                            just to support this vote i sold 2keys here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15715501

                                what is this, people being mature on a key suggestion?

                                anyways I think it's been here for a while now, plenty of bots and other resellers buy for 6.33 and have low stock.

                                  upvote. seen plenty of buyers for 6.22 and even 6.33

                                    Just going to put in my 2 cents. I paid today alone. 6.33 for 2 keys, 6.22 for 1 and 6.11 (in items/metal) for 1.

                                    The last key was an offer from someone I had traded earlier in the day out of nowhere. 6.22 was on a trade server and the 6.33 were from outpost.


                                    Seems like 6.11-6.33 would be a more accurate range considering people are routinely offering keys at 6.11 and 6.22. They may know that 6.33 is possible but they want their metal fast.

                                      If they want metal fast, they would be quicksellers, yes? And you should know that quicksellers' prices do not count.

                                        http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16090436 Quite literally sold the key within a minute.


                                        Edit : Sold another within a minute : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16090687

                                            Now that the extra proof is here, im going to switch my neutral to a up goat

                                              I brought about 5 keys for 6.33 refine, but that just me. It was actually somewhat hard to find that price on outpost. But it was easy find it on this site.

                                                gud prof uptote

                                                  Haven't seen such good proof in a long time. Also, do bots count? Cause I sold 4 of my keys to a bot for 6.33 ref each.


                                                  btw, upvote :)

                                                    Here's my logic to a valid and invalid proof for bots because it's very situational and I'm tired of seeing people saying "bots aren't valid proof" when really they are.


                                                    Invalid - If bots are selling above current price or buying below current price, I believe it is invalid because people will buy for the sake of convenience of not having to deal with humans. It should also be clear that other people are having trouble selling at the bots price.


                                                    Valid - If bots are selling below current price or buying above current price (which is the case here), it is more than valid. Logically, why would you buy from humans that may be offline and slow and not even above market price when you have 24-hour service bot doing trades as fast as possible buying above market price?


                                                    That's my indication if bots are valid or not.

                                                      hahah thanks for replying me with a comment with so much effort in it(im honored). Thanks :)

                                                        I used to share the same reasoning with bots, untill i thought a bit about it.

                                                        (speculation, i dont know and cant prove if its true)

                                                        so what if bots are able to buy above current price, because they can sell even higher because of people wanting the convenience.


                                                        example:

                                                        a bot selling for 6.44, and sells rather fast because it is convenient.

                                                        Same bot is buying for 6.22, but does not buy fast enough to sell at 6.44, so buys at 6.33.

                                                        The only reason the bot would be buying at 6.33, is because it can sell easier at 6.44, while other players can't.


                                                        just my 2 cents.

                                                          Well then again they have a lot of metal in stock so they basically have an unfair advantage. As of right now, 6.44 fulfills the convenience part and isn't ready to be part of the range. I suspect the only reason why they can buy is because again they have so much metal, not because of their abundance of sales. I remember when keys were I think 6.11? Scrap.tf was buying at 6.11 and selling at 6.22. I remembered they had over 260 keys in stock. No average trader can buy that much and it was very clear the only reason why scrap.tf can buy that much is because they have a crap ton of metal to begin with, not because of frequent 6.22 sales.


                                                          Of course I'm talking about large demanded commodities. It's a different story with items.


                                                          Even then they are still valid for a conservative bump up.

                                                        Who want to be the slave of tf2 outpost irrationnal speculation ?

                                                        That's enought , the price of keys increased 2.5 times from the beginning and it just destabilizes the price of > 1 key items .

                                                        Is backpack.tf a reference for trading or tf2 outpost : everybody know it it's backpack, who can trust arbitrary price made by outpost sellers ?

                                                            Are you indicating that Backpack.tf are like nazis? Even though they sacrifice their time to be unbiased and patient to people like you? Apologize immediately right now.

                                                                Not to counterproof but only to people who just post comments like "please stop" and others that post no links and screenshots to actual trades. You are all allowed to post that stuff in the forums but not spam the suggestions.

                                                              This made me laugh, don't know why.

                                                              Keys were like 1 ref in the beginning.

                                                              http://tf2finance.com/keys/ 6.28 and it even includes quicksellers

                                                              And you won't find a different picture on bazaar either.

                                                              I am also buying keys for 6.33

                                                              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16081178

                                                              The trade is already up for 13 hours, bumped many times and only got 1 key ._.


                                                              http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13729794

                                                              This guy is also buying keys for 6.33


                                                              Upvote :)

                                                                    I don't have any proof or support but, I think increasing the price again is too soon. Try again a week later or so.

                                                                      Way too easy to sell at 6.22, got 5 adds within 4 mins of putting up a classified. Hard to buy for 6.22 however.

                                                                        Downvote, 6.22 is stil possible, i sell mine for 6.22 and even bought many for 6.11 and less, classifieds have some 6.22 left but most are highballs.

                                                                          That's what 6.22-6.33 means, that 6.22 is possible

                                                                            Understandable, but i still feel 6.33 is more of a highballing instead of an actual price.

                                                                              Yesterday I tried to buy a key. 6.22 were all offline, all 6.33 were sold out. Scrap.tf had 2 (!) keys available, and they buy them for 6.22 and sell for 6.44. So I ended up buying 6.33 key from my own tf2outpost trade. There're buyers for 6.33, so it's in no way a highballing price.

                                                                            Another one buying at 6.33

                                                                            http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16049512

                                                                                Steam sale

                                                                                Is it just so hard to upvote?

                                                                                +1

                                                                                  he owns 2 and raising the price in scrap, TOTALLY A PRICE MANIPULATION REPORTED!!


                                                                                  upvote :3

                                                                                    Upvote.


                                                                                    Put 6.33 up


                                                                                    in 2 mins, got 2 adds


                                                                                    EDIT: 3 Adds