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Proof below. 3 month-old price.
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14877337
-wanted 17 keys
-seems to have sold for nnb sam (outdated): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14895559
-~16 keys then
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14849466
-nnb cosa seems to have bought this logo handle
-cosa: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1985284562,459,5
-14 keys then
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14869287
-sold for 1 bud=~19 keys then, outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14815552
-polar wanted 1 bud (19 keys then) on another trade
-sold for gifted bud+1 key
-later sold his gifted bud for 16 keys: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14816198
-17 keys
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15957589
-b/o of 16 keys, 1 week (he's had the hat for a while longer)
-no offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13094215
-b/o of 18 keys (owner was away for most of the time)
-recent notable offers:
14 keys+v. fedora=16 keys at the time
nnb whoopee=16 keys at the time
nnb baker (never properly priced)=14
someone wanting to buy? (Doesn't have keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12485646
-another old trade
-recent notable offers:
bud if he adds 7 keys=14 keys then
stormy copper's hard top=14 keys
Sales: 14, 16, 17, 19
I think the range here could be either 14-16 or 14-17 but I prefer to go with the range from sales and there's not much of a difference anyway. Unusual overpay and original prices used.
The current b/o's at 16 and 18 suggest that 14-17 is probably better than 14-19