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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15522337 sold for a flies fez - http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2092168457 check history
3.5
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198049601485?time=1384675200 to http://backpack.tf/id/76561198049601485?time=1384848000 bought a stormy raincatcher and the pom pom for 4 buds.
3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16033971 - b/o 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15804996 - b/o 1.7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14953454 - b/o 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15814427 - sold in a big trade for dead prez muffs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15735546 - sold for blizz katyusha - b/o on the katyusha was 2.2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15790209
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13413737 - b/o 2.3, then lowered his price to 1.7 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14376987
Even before looking on the market for proof this seemed way too high. That is just way too many b/o's sales under 2.5 in value to ignore.