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Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used
Sales
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198084702048?time=1381474800 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198084702048?time=1381647600
Used for sale #1 and #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1991302711 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1996117468
Phosphorous Gonzilla = 2.3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1996117468 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1997118182
Cauldron Hoodie + 5 keys (check first links for the keys) = 2.4 buds
Side note: Buds = 16 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15987604 - Vivid Whoopee + 10 keys = 2.8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15976197
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198040860304?time=1385366400 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198040860304?time=1385539200
Beams Bombing Run + 7 keys = 3.2 buds
Side note: Taking mid price since it was offered on
Conclusion
Got a few sales, vote accordingly.
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15160416 - sold for of attendant + clean juju - i looked this sale up when a suggestion was made for the attendant - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/529c91b74cd7b83d788b4568 - attendant has an old price but the low end of the suggestion there was still fine, so that sale is ~2.8 after overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16096977
Offers:
Dead Prez Practitioner ~2.7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16005455
Offers:
Beams Handle + 8 ~3
Moon Dogger ~3
Searing Pot + Smoking PE ~3
2.7 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14357997
Offers:
Duped Burning Snaggle if he adds 0.5 ~3-3.3
3 pure
CAULDRON HOODIE + 1 buds pure ~3
Low end seems low here. The hoodie sale is uncertain, and a hoodie + 1 pure was offered on one of the current trades. This seems to easily get offers >2.7, even in pure.
Range suggested?
I didn't close this cause I wanted to get more input on it. There are two legit sales at the low end. I felt it was low since there are a ton of recent offers higher than that low end, including pure offers of 2.7 and 3. Frankly, I think range here should be 2.7-3.3. But again, I'd be happy to listen to other opinions.
I think what makes things problematic is that people use current prices than original or whatnot, and original prices could be way off due to inflation and deflation. So, to the people themselves, it would seem as if it was a fair trade, but, otherwise, due to our current system, it's way off, which makes it flawed. Hopefully all will be swell when and if the new update comes. For this reason, I think they're outliers. I'll just resugggest