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Using original prices, overpay and that fancy stuff :)
Original Value: 3.6-3.7 buds!
new Value: 3.1-3.6 buds!
1.Sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2092372252 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2128319211
Clean Misty Tamo (3 buds after overpay) + 0.1 pure (1key+salvaged 60)
--> 3.1 pure
Proof for the range from the old suggestion:
(credit to NecroTed)
2.Sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14289530
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198066271242?time=1378710000 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198066271242?time=1378796400
GBH Connoisseur's (2.7-3.9) + Color 216 Merc's + Violet Filamental + Founding + White G. KE + S. Degreaser w/ parts
-->
3.7 budsthats 3.6 buds after overpay with the sweets :)(Mid price on the Cap since it was offered.)
3.Sale:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1919265360 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1921486821
Bubbling Muffs
--> 3.6 buds
=3.1-3.6
Currently none on the market.
This is actually a significant bump down from the last suggestion at 3.6-3.7
wouldnt value 0.3 buds as significant but on a low tier hat, guess youre right :3
Sale #1:
Misty Tam O' original price is 3.3 - 3.8, ~3.2 after overpay
At the time of the trade buds were 16 - 16.5 keys, #60 was 1.8 keys
Total Sale ~3.4
You were right about Sale #2, I didn't check the sweets compared to buds at the time but GBH Connoisseur's original price really is 2.7 - 3.9, so I'm guessing you did rest just fine
Sale #3:
Bubbling Muffs original price is 3.5 - 4, ~3.4 after overpay
Your price is pretty close, considering it should be 3.4 - 3.6 instead of 3.1 - 3.6
Admins might accept this as it's close enough anyways
Buds where 19 at the time of the trade and the salvaged 1.55, 2.55/19=0.13 buds ~ 0.1 buds.
Price of the Muff is right, it got downrated a few days ago, after the sale happened.
Iam going to resuggest with 3.3-3.6