Suggestion: Blizzardy Storm Swagman's Swatter at 24.52–31.21 keys

Price Suggestion

~28.5 keys

blizz

144 votes up

19 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Mon, 09 Dec 13 23:31:11 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Old price, needs an update. Lots of people still looking for 2 buds in old/reopened trades with no interest, and the only recent sales are way, way under that.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15907835 - Unsold at 2 buds,

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15966113 - Unsold at 2 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14680678 - Best offers are in unusuals, about 1.3-1.45 after applying quicksell pricing (Aces Carousers, Flies Panama)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15129308 - Best offer is a Phos Ketche, 1.35 after applying quicksell pricing

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16127791 - Unsold at 1 bud (most likely quicksell, but still no interest in 3 days)

****no_revenue [NOT CLOSED!]: 1 bud guy has a trade lock, so he can't trade for a few days, which is why it's unsold.

Sold:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15902082 - B/O of 28 (low end of current price), sold for 26 keys (~1.36 buds) about a week later.

I know there are supposed to be two sales, but given the 1.36 sale, 1.36-1.44 quicksell-adjusted unusual offers, and the current open (quicksell?) trade of a 1 bud B/O, I think 22-28 keys is pretty fair. The 1 bud one will most likely sell soon enough anyway.

1 bud guy has a trade lock, so he can't trade for a few days, which is why it's unsold.

Thanks, added to OP.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15902082 - selling for 1.4 buds

Your only sale is at ~1.4, so how did you get your range? (especially the low end)

The hat doesn't seem to move a lot. I checked the previous owner IDs for the ones I could find, and found mostly month-old trades (IDs still starting with 17, 18, 19), or no pricing information. However, there are numerous current postings and offers, so here's what I did for the range:

22 keys is the result of taking the 1 bud quicksale trade and applying a 0.85 scaling factor (halfway between full price and the 70% that most quicksell buyers ask for), 28 keys is the overpay-adjusted highest offer from the past three weeks, and the one sale fits this range at 1.36.

I figured an adjusted quicksale value would be the best I could get for a low-end number, and the most that people were willing to pay would be the best I could get for a high-end number, as long as I could find a sale which fit between the two (which is the link you and I posted).

Actually, looks like one bud guy just closed his without selling, I'm going to resuggest this.