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Proof below. 6 month-old price.
Clean only (all on market are clean).
This is actually an increase from original suggested value.
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15660533
-b/o of 7 buds
-sold for demonflame ze goggles (unpriced)+8 keys+7 keys in items
-notable offers:
clean scorching spartan=6.1 (got one below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15826548
-wanted 6 buds
-capo+logo trophy belt (1.45) in set+g. archimedes+5 keys bought duped burning capo (duped was ~7.6 looking at the last suggestion made with dupes many months ago): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14457580
-5.3 buds (not using this but roughly around this value) (you would get 5.6 just subtracting 1 bud from the clean price of 8.9 for the duped capo)
-notable offers:
phos lucky shot (unpriced but could be close)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15861852
-b/o of 6.5 buds
-sold for what seems to be clean but long history scorching spartan=6.1 buds (dat upgrade)
-no notable offers apart from the same ones
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16007390
-b/o of 7 buds, 1 week
-notable offers:
miami bunsen (unpriced but yet again probably fits)
miami tyro if seller adds 2=5.5
miami lucky shot (unpriced)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15938778
-has had it for few months now, longer than the trade
-no notable offers apart from the miami tyro-2 again
Not much proof for this, few sales. 5.5 is from the offer of miami tyro-2 and the rough value of the duped burning capo sale. 6.1 is from the sale of scorching spartan. Unusual overpay and original prices used.
Note: first sale went for a duped pe spartan instead of the ze goggles but probably makes that an outlier
the spartan sold for the goggles so the sale is quite low