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Very outdated so technically i'm raising the price (ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ノ) Re suggest due to new proof on the jeep cap sale
Thanks to Offline for providing some insight to the needed overpay for this <3
sales http://imgur.com/1fFx9ob
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15671188 sold for http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15527048 + http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14846723 (Roboactive Jeepcap and Bubbling Gonzola AND a BMOC while they were 16 keys) Original prices being 4,2-4.6 on jeepcap and the gonzola being 12-13 plus the 16 from bmoc = 6. --> with overpay= 5.8
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15983383 sold for Scorching Bakers boy with owner of Fro adding 30 keys http://backpack.tf/id/76561198048308168?time=1385798400 (backpack history after trade AND adding the guy to ask what he paid)
Bakers is 7-7.6 and since he had the fro added to and after calculated overpay the sale would put the fro at 5.1.
This gives us a range of 5.1-5.8
Used the two recent sales for this one, as this hat is horrifically outdated and last suggestion only had sales from 3-5 months ago
There are plenty more sales to find, please look if you can find out more in the future.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14642767 sold for 5 buds + 23 keys (buds at 17 keys = ~6.4 buds)
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198033463225?time=1381474800 --> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198033463225?time=1381647600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15007608 (the buds) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15031976 (some keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15676578 - sold for burning tree (offered on it) and added 30 keys (buds at 19 keys) = 6.75 - 1.6 buds = ~5.15 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15335294 - sold for burning shako (offered on it) = 5.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15153123 - added 30 keys for a scorching crown (offered on it) = 7.25 - 1.8 buds = ~5.5 buds
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/52a100664dd7b8967c8b456e - sold for scorching softcap (offered on it) but added 0.5 = 5.5 buds if we use the old price of the softcap, or 6.4 buds if we use the recently accepted one
So majority of sales is in your range, I would call the 6.4 bud sale an outlier for now and use the old value on the softcap. :)