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"Just bought two tickets to the gunshow, and I'm not givin' 'em to ya; I'm goin' with your tickets! (laughs, falls asleep) Wha--?"
This is my first suggestion, I put a lot of effort in it and consulted people who knew, so please read the proof :). Also calculated unusual overpay and read all this: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/7-how-to-create-a-good-unusual-price-suggestion/
I would like to mention that’s 18 months old price.(Although it mentions 7 months ago it's 18)
CURRENT TRADES
☻ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10130537 B/o 3 ( 7 months old trade, but that’s because the guy has a hard time letting them go. Highest offers go on 1.8 to 2.6 buds: [Festive confetti lvl69 tree (1.8-2-2) ] [Flaming Lantern Bucket (2.1-2.6) [44 keys (2.2) ] [All “Sayes” backpack which in the moment posted went for 2 buds]
☻ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14734497 <--- This is a DUPED sober. It shouldn't be mentioned. Still goes for 1.7 buds
☻ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16147147 B/o 2.3. He got offered: [a Max (2.3 buds) ] [ Kill-a-watt Raincatcher, crazy people sellin' for 6 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16099402 but the main B/o and sales are of those is 2 buds ]
☻ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15068808 B/o is 45 keys 2.3 buds . He got offered serious shit [ Miami Nights Metal Base Billycock should go around 2-2.5].
☻ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15946402#p48209228 Nothing serious on here. All low offers rounding [u]2 buds
SOLDS
☻I asked Tril0 and told me he bought his to et4wr for a Stormy Flamenco and 11 keys in sweets : 41 keys 2 buds. Checked the history of them both hats, true.
☻ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8316574 Was quicksold for 2.5 buds.
☻ http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15411913 N&B Fed fighten fadora a N&B Voodoo Juju Slight Return + 8 keys? 18+24+8 2.5 buds
Well if you keep checking sales they are mostly unusuals overpay around 2.5 buds
It concludes, so if i had to stablish a low price i think 2.1 buds wouldn't be "absurde" and high price should be 2.4 because of unusual overpay.
Thank you very much for reading, i hope i was enough and Have A Great Day!
Is overpay applied here?
Highests offers go for 2.6 buds and maintein. The average overpay in this hat is 2 keys, what i extracted.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16147147 max offer seems to be retracted and the other offer was a terror watt rain catcher. also i think you need a couple more sales as most of your links have b/o's lower than your high end
That is my trade i suppose, and the guy was willing to trade but i first hesitated (because i thought it was duped) so i kept him waiting and he retracted because of the waiting time. My fault.
fair enough
n+b fed fedora is .7-.9, n+b voodoo is 1.2-1.4, add 8 keys and it totals to be ~2.3
Stormy flamenco is actually 2-2.3 buds: http://backpack.tf/stats/627/5/29 so that trade is also ~2.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16147147 - BO 2 buds
The sales on this hat seem to be higher than one of the current BOs... There is another BO of 1.7 on outpost, but that hat is duped.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15739925 - added 2 keys for OF hallmark. Offered, so no overpay ~1.8
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16147147 - b/o 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15068808 - b/o 2.3 (sold to marketplace)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15411913 - sale of ~2.3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15394439 - looks like added 2 keys in sweets for SF RL ~2.1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15327471 - b/o 2
Looks like the range here should be 1.8-2.3