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Proof below. Originally priced as 7.4 5 months ago.
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14758099
-b/o of 12 buds
-sold/bought for beams ten gallon (6.4 outdated)+1 key+14 ref
-buyer's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050239682?time=1380610800http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050239682?time=1380956400
-ten gallon: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14665074
--~6.6 buds, gallon looks pretty undervalued on here
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14697410
-wanted 9.5 buds
-ck+phos swagman (unpriced) sold for 13th hour swagman (11.7 after overpay)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16049923
-sold for duped secret lid (outdated but suggestion used dupes to price)=7.4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15173685
-b/o of 11 buds
-bought miami attendant+flies hallmark: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15133012
-~7.7 buds, no overpay as offered
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15164701
-b/o of 10-11 buds
-sold/bought for aces war pig: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15171614
-also confirmed here: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/526db9e14cd7b8cb0c8b4568
-7.8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15163055
-sold/bought for ge anger: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15141434 (using the recent suggestion which used this sale except they all missed the eas, last price too outdated)+black eas: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15063757
-7.4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15088331
-b/o of 11 buds in set
-bought one of those uber duped+uber long history burning milkmans+sweets: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15148163
-can't properly value the milkman so not using this but probably ~7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14892411
-b/o of 13 buds
-ck+steaming cowl (1.1)+pink g. dcc bought roboactive hw (7.4): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14657454
-6 buds, outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14858848
-wanted 12 buds
-ck+1 bud sold for ks wraith (price then was very outdated so looking at the recent one but suggester missed the bud, but anyway without the sale that's 8.5-9.1)
-bud: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14892411
-6.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14743439
-ck+nnb brigade bought beams lucky shot: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14584817
-5.7 buds, no overpay as offered, clear outlier
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14837674
-b/o of 13 buds
-notable offers:
ks swagman=6.8
aces bomber+2 craft#s (not worth much, not low-crafts)=7.9-8? probably outlier
secret g. ushanka=?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16161731
-wants 9 buds
Sales: 5.7, 6, 6.6, 6.9, 7.4, 7.4, 7.7, 7.8
Asked polar bear and he too thinks the range should be 7-8 with sales and offers roughly around there. Anything below 7 looks low here, not including them. Unusual overpay and original prices used.