Suggestion: Naughty Winter Crate 2013 #78 at 0.11–0.33 ref

Price Suggestion

~0.11 ref

#78

267 votes up

109 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Fri, 13 Dec 13 20:45:54 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

This item is a common find, it has no key so it's useless, and buyers are just holding out until the price drops. I wouldn't say it needs a direct reduction right now because there are still many sellers for 0.33, all I'm suggesting is a bit more range and we see where it goes from there.

Proof:

Community market:

Average selling price for the day has dropped to $0.07(0.22 scrap), scrolling through I counted almost 130 selling at $0.06 - $0.07:

http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Naughty%20Winter%20Crate%202013%20Series%20%2378

Trade.tf estimated this item at 2 scrap: http://www.trade.tf/price/5714_78/6

TF2 warehouse estimated the value at 410 credits, or 0.14 ref: http://www.tf2wh.com/item/5714/6/157dca945a05146bfcbb9320a84fa65c/naughty-winter-crate

Despite the fact that most people on TF2 Outpost highball prices (As many of you know) I still found many selling/unsold for less than 0.33:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16315030

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16343140

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342718

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16344064

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16343882

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342471

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16306484

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16336054

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16334494

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342182

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16305711

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342781

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342530

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342149

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16305889

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16342069

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16341764

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16320374

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16330388

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16319080

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16328507

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16335700

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16334743

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16331782

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16326087

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16320888

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16302953

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16308960

This one technically counts because you can get two crates for 0.44: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16303040

This person is really unclear, but I guess it counts: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16315853

And, this guy says "Add me now and get all for 1 rec": http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16341913, Not sure if that deal still stands.

Also, for additional proof please look at classified listings, where I think nearly all of them are selling for less than 0.33.

And, by the way if you don't like my proof or I made a mistake (I'm new) I would appreciate it if you explained it instead of just mindlessly criticizing and making fun of me like every time I have ever post a suggestion here. Thanks c:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UzNBGwCx1wE

EDIT: I've been getting a lot of messages saying I should have made the range 0.11 - 0.22, I didn't originally go for that range because there still are a good number selling for 0.33. However, If you guys think the range I picked is not good and this suggestion gets rejected. I will re-suggest with the range of 0.11 - 0.22.

Just bought 7 for .11 ref

Upboat :P

I just bought 23 for 1 scrap each Upvote

You could even drop it to 0.11 - 0.22 ref

where is the key :D

They might be waiting for Christmas to be closer before they release the key for it.

it will be 0.03 ref i think

my trade sold 200+ for .44 >.< http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16255283

Over the course of how much time, and when? If it was all recently, then all it proves is that there are around 200+ people too lazy to take one of the hundreds of other trades selling it for .33 or below on TF2Outpost or other trade websites and servers.

as u can see last guy bought 47crate from me 5 hour ago. I sold 80+ crate in minute 2 day ago I often run out of stock

First, where did you get those 200+ crates? For you to profit from these sales, you would have had to have bought them for under .44 which is within the range I'm suggesting.

Unless, you're just buying crates and selling them for less than or the same price that you bought them for. Which wouldn't make any sense.

Also, to test your statement I put up a trade selling one crate for .44 on TF2Outpost, and so far I've gotten no responses. I will continue to bump this trade for the rest of the day, however I'm pretty confident that I won't get any buyers. I don't know how you sell so many for over the listed price that everyone else is selling it for, but apparently you're just the best trader I've ever heard of. If you're telling the truth.

My trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16359258

Edit: I think the reason you have sold so many is because you're selling in bulk. People who can afford to buy a whole bunch of crates don't care about spending an extra scrap or so for each crate as long as they can get a lot quickly.

Plus, the number of crates you claim to have sold is less than 0.2% of the total number of crates. Which isn't substantial enough to base an entire new price around,

bought 4 for a scrap each upvote

Bought 17 for a Refined, definitely upvote.