Resuggesting as Recommended by Bear

Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used

Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14981885 - Orb Fire Hermes = 1.2 buds (outlier)

Side note: Taking mid price since it was offered on

Sellers/B/O/s

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16253886 - 30 keys = 1.6 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15302810 - 2 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14366031 - 2 buds

Bear's Counter-proof

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15982477 - sold for smoking chieftain + smoking panama + sweets ~1.7 at least

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15865490 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15905013 - looks like it sold for this level 1 max ~2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15796708 - KAW steel shako

Shako has offers of 2+ in pure - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15886655

1.2 sale looks like an outlier. Range of 1.6-2 seems reasonable.

Conclusion

Bear's got dem prufz. Vote accordingly :3

Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3