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[Proof below]
3 months old price
Overpay applied
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15871989
-sold for 1 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14914239
-sold for 1 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15765159
-sold for 20 keys (~1.2)
-buds were 16
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15477634 - added 3 keys for a cauldron oma - old price here and he's underselling cause it's duped. but is it still this low? hmm
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15792704 - nuts noble ~1.4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16156339 - flies cosa + 7 keys ~1.8 - shouldn't be valued above the b/o of 1.5 - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198047763881?time=1386057600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15794660 - added minor sweets for of cannonball. ~1.6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15765159 - 1.1 pure - sold very fast
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15445866 - looks like bought for steaming hallmark ~1.4 and sold for of cosa + dcc ~1.3
I've stopped looking even though there are quite a few more recent sales. There are just way too many sales above the suggested range here. This will need more digging into.