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Proof below.
Originally priced 8.5-9.5 7 months ago, so this is actually a raise.
Clean only, correct me if I'm wrong.
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15564901
-tyrants+sf rl (1.85 then)+1 bud bought scorching tyrant (12.05): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15860062
-9.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15788217
-sold/bought for scorching baker (7.3)+planets big chief: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15597606
-buyer's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198046113742?time=1384416000
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198046113742?time=1384675200
-~8.3 buds, outlier, even he says he got a good deal on his tyrants trade
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15512233
-ghosts tyrants+stormy tc bought the same beams tyrants
-tc: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15505792 ('added' from the beams tyrants seller)
-11 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15511272
-tyrants+1 bud+10 keys bought duped burning swagman (clean is 14): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15369755
-not using but could be anywhere from 10-11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15473578
-b/o of 13 buds
-sold for scorching bat rebel rouser (unpriced)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15433796
-b/o of 12 buds
-seems to have sold for hearts tyrants+a few buds (both bps unclear)
-tyrants: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15445924
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15129206
-sold for 9 buds
-seller's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198072866120?time=1383202800
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198072866120?time=1383289200 (extra 2 buds+some keys came from the sf rl and other stuff he sold), took 1 month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14330161
-was 'quickselling' for 9 buds, took a while to sell for that 9 buds: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14730804
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15199433
-sold for ge tyrants+peace modest=~9.7 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15026702
-tyrants+disco lucha (unpriced but ~7-8?) sold for burning tyrants (16.5 before overpay)=8-9? Not using anyways
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14994326
-creamy looks to have sold it for 10 buds
-seems to have sold rather quickly but value-wise definitely wasn't a quicksell+straight from unboxer
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15122770
-wanted 10 buds
-just sold for 7 buds+steaming ke+vivid trophy=maximum of 10 buds, as he overpaid the pure b/o which is probably why he accepted it straight away
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15794194
-wants 13 buds, 1 month old
-notable offers:
pe tyrants+sf minigun+1 bud=8.7
c9 wraith (unpriced)=9-10?
dp headsplitter+phos steel shako (outdated)+6 keys=9.7
miami modest scrap (unpriced)=9-10?
duped burning cowl=9-10
dp phantom=9.6
cloudy honchos (year+ old price)=11.3, invalid
dp phantom (different guy)=9.6
gbh wraith (unpriced)=8.9 using tw price
c9 tyrants+sf rl+up to 3 buds (retracted)=10.7
stormy gibus (unpriced)=probably 9
burning spartan+lime summer hat=9ish
harvest marauder=9
secret drill (year+ old price)=12.6 invalid
disco tyro=9.9
miami ballcap=8.9
c9 bubble+max=10.5 then
harvest marauder+1 bud=10
miami sam=9.6
burning fuka+beams snaggle=10
kaw antlers (unpriced)=9.2 using terror price
stormy tc+ghosts tyrants (bought one above in a sale)
miami reggae=10
c9 bubble+peace marauder (never properly priced)+1.5 buds=12 but invalid and anyway outlier
cloudy waxy=10.4
ge tyrants+peace modest (bought one above in a sale)
kaw tyrantium=8.9
ghosts fedora+2 buds=9.1
stormy 13th stahl=9
burning pot+v. luger=8.8
cloudy trophy (outdated)+1 bud+sweets=9.6
aces anger (unpriced, dp is ~6)+pe trilby+terror panama (kaw is 1.8)=probably 10-11
sulph aa+4 buds=10.7
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14563294
-not considering anything lower than 11 buds, 3 months old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16310379
-has had it for a year unlike what the trade suggests
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15825597
-not considering anything below 11 buds, 1 month
Sales: 8.3, 9, 9, 9.2, 9.7, 10, 10, 11
I only listed one trade's 2-3 months-worth of notable offers (which is quite a lot) and it clearly shows that anything above 11 shouldn't be in the range. As indicated by sales, 9 isn't a quicksell and offers mainly range from 9-11 which is my range. Keep in mind this is an increase from the originally suggested price. Unusual overpay and original prices used.
9-11 seems like a good amount for this, upvoted.
The baker had an offer of ghost beak + 2 pure, later 3 pure and the ghost beak is nearly worth the same as the baker. It was from ampharos though, who tends to overpay. But that would maybe explain why he did the trade.
Thanks for doing this, looks good to me!
Also somewhat of a dream hat of mine ^^