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Proof below. 4 month-old price.
Resuggesting cos polar decided to have some fun
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15183968
-gonzilla+good sweets (#35 Viking braider) bought misty honchos (5.15 outdated): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15067810
-braider: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198068253050?time=1382338800
-probably around ~4.8 buds valuing the braider higher than the normal # craft hats, definitely within range though
-no notable offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15624172
-wanted 5.5 buds
-sold for 4 buds+3 keys+6 ref+many sweets
-seller's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197988076912?time=1384502400
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197988076912?time=1384588800 (everything after key, rec, ref)
-~4.6 buds
-notable offers:
steaming norman+blizz hallmark=definitely above 4
tw goggles (unpriced)=4.2 using gbh (outdated)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14727819
-wanted 6 buds
-took a while to sell for 78 keys=~4.9 buds then
-buyer's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197988076912?time=1383984000
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197988076912?time=1384070400 (unusuals came from what he sold?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16330910
-b/o of 4.5 buds
-sold for 4 buds to polar
-note that this may not be a quicksell, he has had this hat up from different trades since: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15772891
-notable offers:
70 keys=3.9
Sales: 4, 4.6, 4.8, 4.9
Range is very simple. 4 is probably not a quicksell, offers aren't too good. Unusual overpay and original prices used.
I sold mine for a misty skull honcho.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15183968
I included that. You added something, no?
Ah wow totally missed it! Yes, added a low craft braider.
Yep I was correct ^^
Dang.... I remember buying one of these for 2.3 buds.... However, I don't see why the high end is 5.1 when you only have proof for 4.9?
Currency changes messed my range up
Ah, I didn't even notice buds changed.