Counter-suggestion

It's not going down lol, more like going up.

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200b274ba2536c96a000028

1 for 2.66 (very young, already sold)

4 for 3 ref

2.66 is a quicksell, and hard to find:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16400547 - instasold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16392178 - instasold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16370956 - instasold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16408982 - instasold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16405817 - instasold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16389267 . instasold (2.88)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16377383 - instasold

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16375529 - instasold (2.88)

Recently sold for 3 ref+

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16407113

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16410699

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16410797

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16384502

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16382784

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16381161

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16376545

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16372195 (3.11)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16368961

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16368903

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16365629

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16364850

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16364929

It should be noted that most of the sellers are resellers (and none are asking for < 3 ref, in fact, most seem to be quite successful at 3-3.33, but I'm just being conservative for the moment)

Additional proof / counterproof / w/e is appreciated.