Proof below. 9 month-old price.

Sales:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14979411

-in a set, sold for vivid noir+ebenezer=~2.5 buds outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14818316

-b/o of 4.5 buds

-gallon+listed sweets bought vivid tyro: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14646863

-~3.4 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14613936

-b/o of 4 buds

-sold for stormy wraith=3.4 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14772703

-b/o of 4.5 buds

-sold for 75 keys=~4.5 buds

Current trades:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13957747

-old

-recent notable offers:

3.8 buds (looks fake)

75 keys bought above

miami fez=3.6

level 42 max (dunno if this adds value)+1 bud=3.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16418262

-no offers

Sales: 2.5, 3.4, 3.4, 4.5

3.4 is a definitely a suitable low end, 4.5 as high end is probably the highest this can go for, b/os are around here. Due to lack of traceable sales this is probably the best range. Unusual overpay and original prices used.

Resuggesting