Proof below. 9 month-old price.

Ty polar for advice

Counter suggestion to counter suggestion to my original suggestion lol

Sales:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14979411

-in a set, sold for vivid noir+ebenezer=~2.5 buds outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14818316

-b/o of 4.5 buds

-gallon+listed sweets bought vivid tyro: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14646863

-~3.4 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14613936

-b/o of 4 buds

-sold for stormy wraith=3.4 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14772703

-b/o of 4.5 buds

-sold for 75 keys=~4.5 buds, outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16281012

-sold for 3 buds

-buyer's bp just to check:

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198069513015?time=1386489600

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198069513015?time=1386576000

Current trades:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13957747

-old, only just removed the gallon from trade (gone a while ago)

-recent notable offers:

3.8 buds (looks fake)

75 keys bought above

miami fez=3.6, unsure about using this, he retracted and a bit off the sales

level 42 max (dunno if this adds value)+1 bud=3.2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16418262

-no offers

Sales: 2.5, 3, 3.4, 3.4, 4.5

3 buds as low end from sale. 3.4 buds high end from 2 sales. Unusual overpay and original prices used.