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Using the most recent sales I could find.
Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used
Sales
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198068158539?time=1377068400 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198068158539?time=1377154800
Max's Head = 2.2 buds
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198022393280?time=1377068400 --->
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198022393280?time=1377154800
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198075752674?time=1376895600 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198075752674?time=1377068400
Stormy Attendant + 10 keys = 1.8 buds
Side note: Considering the F. Scatter sold for 3 & considering buds at ~20
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198067529912?time=1376809200 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198067529912?time=1376895600
Max's Head = 2.2 buds
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198075752674?time=1376809200 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198075752674?time=1376895600
All the sales here are 4 months old and too old to use. Last suggestion 5 months ago was 1.9. That's probably a decent estimate of what the hat was selling around that time. Don't see how these can be reliably used to price it now.