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1 of 1, 11 month old price.
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14812836[/url] - Sold for Moon Whoopee, Smoking Panama and .2 buds (7.3 buds)
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15378213[/url] - Sold for Stormy Scopers, Vivid Snaggle and Blizz Toque (6.5 buds)
I don't know, when I made a suggestion for this ( suggested on the c. moon trilby by accident, nobody noticed :P ), polar said the low end might not be good as it sold in 1 day, pretty fast for a hat of this tier.
Seeing as there are sales that are ~5 and only a month or two older than these, I think this range is already pretty high.
Well, considering the other sales are around here and offers on one that was on the market for a while are about here - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14865426 - I think it might be okay. Still a concern, but this is probably close.