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Proof below. This is actually an increase from previously suggested price of 7-7.4 4 months ago.
Sorry cranwell
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15061020
-sold for hearts mancer+burning l'inspecteur: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15107188
-~6.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14611403
-b/o of 8 buds
-sold for ge chef hat (3.25 outdated)+pe stuntsman (2.5 never properly priced)+blizz sam (1.9 then)=6.9 buds
-seller's bp:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198038792810?time=1381561200
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198038792810?time=1381820400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15991868
-sold for beams fez (super outdated)+1 bud=~7.3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15960408
-mancer+2 items sold/bought for clean beams phantom (outdated): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15909412
-~5.6 buds, the beams phantom's original price is very low since it's old, probably around 7 now, not using this in range, far away from sales anyway
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15292459
-mancer+~2 buds bought burning nappers (8-10 then): http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15951084
-7 buds, no overpay as offered
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14674636
-wanted ~8.1 buds then
-sold for 88 keys+ghosts private eye (outdated)=~8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16484152
-duped, mancer+6.5 buds sold for scorching cm (outdated): http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2168284855,523,5
-7.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16303138
-duped, sold for 9.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15804776
-wanted 13 buds
-mancer+sf flame bought beams flamenco+bills: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057188
-9.4 buds
Current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16481270
-cranwell wants ~8.7 buds
-no notable offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16438315
-wants ~11.6 buds
-no notable offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16473277
-notable offers:
beams phantom (I explained this above)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16057323
-only ts is clean, no one cares much anyway
-wants 10 buds each, almost a month old
-notable offers:
beams aa=6.8
clean miami modest scrap=8.4
harvest billy+lantern bucket (never properly priced)+ghosts tam (year old price)+g. fetti mancer=8.7
burning spartan+1 bud=8.6
pe brigade (outdated)+3 buds=7
oc tc=8.3
aces war pig+1 bud=8
lantern bubble=8.6
ge bubble=7.2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15403587
-cashing out, b/o of $400, ~12 buds
-no notable offers <3 that scorching tc
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15982612
-b/o of 9 buds, almost 1 month
-notable offers:
surge beak+15 keys=7.8
beams aa again
6 buds+16 keys+2 crate #50s+2 pdas+sweets=8.2+
pe brigade+3 buds again
7 buds
terror jefe=8.9
pe slug+cauldron noir (outdated)+1 bud=7.9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15939803
-wants 8 buds, almost 1 month
-no notable offers
Sales: 5.6, 6.9, 6.9, 7, 7.3, 7.9, 8, 9.4, 9.5
There are quite a few b/os below 9, some are willing to take 8 and below even. 9.4 and 9.5 look a bit too high, absolutely no offers above 9 and many are having trouble selling this for 9 and less. So 7-9. Unusual overpay and original prices used.
Should use the current price on the nappers since it was clearly very low at the time of that sale. And two of the other sales at the low end involve outdated hat prices. Leaving us with 6.9, 7.3, 7.9, 8, 9.4, 9.5, 10.5 (nappers). I'm thinking 7.5-9.5 might be better.
I think 9.5 is high, would 8-9 be better since I don't really have anything for 7.5?
hmm. 8-9 would look sort of arbitrary as well. we can see what another mod says