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4 ref --> taken as 0.66 keys here
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16527433 -trade owner deleted price but trade.tf shows it
(http://i.imgur.com/jf9mVKK.png)
5.44
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16544811 -offered 5.44 in items. gens should be 1.22
1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16536865 -sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16534900 -sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16530866 -sold for 6.44 aka 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16530059 -sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16529524 -sold ("lol he is a squirl")
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16520101 -sold
http://bazaar.tf/trade/595246 -i was offered a key but i had already sold it
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16539197 -the trade where i sold mine
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16515011 -offered 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16516114 -offered 1 key (duplicate trade, you know what to do)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16516825 -offered 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16542075 -unsold, relatively new and not bumped much
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16544396 -unsold, relatively new
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16519284 -unsold, not bumped much
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16536086 -unsold not bumped much
Note: Many new unsold 1 key links were poorly bumped and only bumped in the last hour or so. I know this because I researched on this item before taking it as payment for my painted downvest.
1 key + 1 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16538506 -sold
2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16524698 -unsold
Conclusion
Many solds at 1 key, with a few below that. Capped range at 1 key because there were a couple unsolds at 1 key, though they were poorly bumped to my own observation over the last couple hours, but still.
The one at 4 ref sold rather fast it seems, quicksell ..
how would you know that, lol
Trade was posted 12 hour ago and was last bumped 9 hours ago... http://i.imgur.com/RRywFJB.png It means it sold in 3 hours, which is super really mega fast, i.e. quicksell. D:
Edit: My point is that you have offers, solds and sellers at 1 key and a quicksell at 4 ref so why not 1 key flat then ?
i think 5 ref would be the ideal price