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4 month old price? C'mon, Roller.
Less than three pages on Outpost, and most are in sets, incredibly old, or poorly bumped.
UNSOLDS FOR 1 KEY
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15147737 - 2 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15562733 - 1 month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16069248 - 4 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15958985 - 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16362544 - 1 week (w/Killstreaks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16401248 - 1 week
SELLING
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16418673 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16448371 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16559169 - 5 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15662222 - 5.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16553355 - 6 ref
There is just not a market for this. I legitimately looked for solds from within the past month, and could only find two, and only 2:1 deals.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16580550 - Sold with G. Diamondback (~0.66 ref) for S. Diamondback (1 key), so the Fragment here = ~5.88 - 6 ref.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16521422 - Sold with Tartan Shade (~4 ref) for High-Five Taunt (~7.77 ref), so the Fragment here = ~3.77 ref. (Outlier, but helps nonetheless.)
Vintages rarely have a market. If they do, it's either minuscule, on the Community Market, or very common.
Proof looks good. Upvote.