I haven't made a suggestion in 6 months. I kinda miss this place.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6755826

1 year old. Holy cow. Maybe duped, but maybe not. Owner claims it's duped

1 offer in the last month

G Robo Sandvich + 5 keys (1.2 + 0.3) = 1.5 x .95 = 1.4 bud offer

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16612109 (1 day old)

Offers of Smoking Boron Beanie + 3 keys: 1.3-1.4 + .17 = 1.5-1.6 x .9 = 1.4 buds

Searing Plasma Safe and Sound: 1.7-2 x .9 = 1.5-1.8 buds, or 1.65 buds

A friend of mine bought for 26 keys + 2 craft hats: http://gyazo.com/a8baa49e5ff86c20702dd569b3e30d79

http://gyazo.com/c99769e54cf9623dc16cad43e949d1bd

Sale at 26.4 keys (1.55 buds)

And sold for 27 keys + 2 weps:

http://gyazo.com/c99769e54cf9623dc16cad43e949d1bd

Sale at 27.01 keys (1.6 buds)

So here's where the proof gets a little iffy.

This man (http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16612109) bought his + Australium Tomislav for a Planets Jefe + Planets Coppers + Gifted Planets Softcap

His buyout is 2 buds.

The reason I'm not going to include this as a valid sale is because there's too many "ifs". I can't accurately price the Tomislav or the Gifted Softcap, so I'm just going to ignore it... Sorry?

If I was, I'd take the value of the Tomi at ~1 bud and the Gifted at 66% of it's bp.tf price.

Here's the "equation" I'm using: (Milkman Value, or x) + (Tomislav Value) = (Jefe + Softcap + Coppers) x .9 (for unusual overpay)

(Milkman Value) + 1 = (1.4-1.7 + [(12-13 x .9)/17] + [(16-20 x .66)/17]) x .9

Using all low end values, the estimated value of x, or the Milkman, is 1.7 buds

Using all high end values, the estimated value if x, or the Milkman, is 2.3 buds

This is an estimate of a 2 bud sale, which I consider inaccurate and an outlier in the data.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16445038

Sold Blizz Milkman + Nuts Modest + keys for a Flies Modest (Item histories match up http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16501609)

After looking through the entire backpack I found 0 keys that were exhanged. He also has 0 other higher end trades on outpost and it doesn't look like he's been doing any other high end trades.

(Milkman) + 2-2.3 + unknown = 3.7-4.2

I don't calculate reverse overpay, so this will be treated almost like a pure trade.

Milkman is somewhere between 1.7-1.9 - an unknown amount of keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16646261

Selling for 2 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14940506

Selling for 1.9 pure

Sold for a Kill-a-watt Hot Dogger: 1.2-1.8 x .9 = 1.1-1.6 or a sale at 1.35 buds . Based on bp.tf's rounding system, this is a valid sale at 1.4 buds.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16396212

Selling for 1 bud 13 keys pure, trade is closed and I can't any proof of transaction. Selling at 1.8 buds/

Conclusion

Sales: 1.55, 1.6, 1.8 - ?, 1.4, 2 (iffy)

Highest Offers: 1.7

Lowest seller was selling at: 1.8 buds, most have B/Os at 2.

1.8-2 buds is just too generous for this hat. Everyone is selling at 2 or has a buyout of 2, and this hat is not fetching 2. The absolute highest I found is a sale at 1.8 - an unknown amount of keys. Suggesting this range because I feel it most accurately describes the sales I've found. As always, I love comments and feedback so I'd appreciate it. I haven't traded really hard in about 6 months so I may not be accustomed to any changes in making suggestions. Thanks anyways.

Fray