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[Proof below]
6 months old price
Overpay applied
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16214634
-sold for PE pith helm (~2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16609940
-sold for cloud 9 lnspecteur + 0.1 in sweets (~2.4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15861299
-added 0.2 for GE shako (~2.8)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16111197
-offers-
o.f phantom (2.6)
headcase + vivid copper's hard top (~3)
Burning handle + sweets (~3)
Merry was offered on the PE pith - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14631897 - and the pith has a 7 month old price.
Merry was offered on the pith, too - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16584152 - so that sale would be ~2.8
Perhaps 2.8-3 would work