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~2.33 keys
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RANGE IS UGLY DOWNVOTE


I'm back to re-suggest a price.


Even though the lowest transactions of this item is 1 key and 4 refined and there a plethora of sales occurring at 2 keys, I have put the suggested minimum at 2.1 keys because 2.1 keys is the lowest SELLER price.


Highest price is 2.4 keys because it is rare to find a seller that actually sells one for 2 keys and 3.44 refined.


There is one upper outlier of Michael Puddington having successful sales at 3 keys, but this is due to his high bumping ability and his reputation. This effectively balances out the purchases of 1 key and 4 refined.


Due to the lack of sellers for this item, I have been forced to included a few buyers along with a bulk of sellers as proof.

Proof of Range

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16376222 - 1 key and 4 refined = 1.58 keys (Most likely outlier)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16542271 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16314530 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16154401 - 2 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16781840 - 2.1 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14489850 - 2 keys and 1 refined = 2.1453 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16588025 - 2 keys and 1.66 ref = 2.24 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16786650 - Attempting to purchase at 2 keys 2 refined = 2.29 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15611981 - Attempted to sell at 2 keys 2 ref to lowballer = 2.29 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16750014 - 2 keys and 2.88 refined = 2.41 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16372432 - 2.5 keys supposedly but the guy takes 3 ref, so it’s really 2.43 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15471574 - 2 keys and 3 refined = 2.43 keys


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14464126 - 3 keys (Most likely outlier to great bumping and reputation of Michael Puddington)


Unsolds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16706176 - 2 keys and 3.44 refined = EXACTLY 2.5 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16774015 - Double Cross Comm (2.8 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16559427 - 3 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16779258 - 3 keys


    Scrap.tf is buying it for 2.2...

    Your 2 keys proof are quickbuyers. Your one 2.1 keys seller is clearly afk, unbumped for 10 hours (trade is 11 hours old), has a bm, and has an add, indicating a quicksell. Downvote.

      I respectfully disagree with your assessment of the 2.1 key seller considering that 2 keys and below is considered a quicksell/quickbuy via my proof. But I appreciate your constructive criticism.


      Edit: Another thing to prove that its not a quicksell is that even though he has one had hours after posting it, the other person who saw it did not believe 2.1 keys was low enough and proposed a quicksell price of 2 keys to the seller.

      Sounds good. Upvote.

        Sounds good? LOL. This is absolutely wrong.

          Sorry, youre right. I didnt take into account scrap.tf's prices and the validity of the links. My mistake.

        Kodorin has proved in his counter-suggestion that you can sell these at 2.5 keys. Also the fact that scrap.tf pays 2 keys 1 ref shows that that price is a quicksell.

            http://i.imgur.com/fHVRNfF.png


            sold this less than an hour

              Counterproof shows that the low end here at the very least is a true quicksell